Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Prediction markets put the probability at 38%: Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31. Currently, markets are divided (38% YES, 62% NO). With GTA 6 six months away, fans are trying to figure out Rockstar's next move.

What’s Happening

Grand Theft Auto 6 fans have spent months awaiting a third trailer from Rockstar Games, with anticipation peaking in mid-May 2026 as the title approaches its launch window roughly six months away. Publisher Take-Two Interactive is scheduled to hold an earnings call on May 21, 2026, an event many in the community have flagged as a probable window for a marketing beat. Despite repeated fan-predicted release dates throughout the year — including one charted against planetary positions of prior Rockstar trailer drops — no third trailer has materialized as of mid-May. The question of whether another GTA VI trailer released by May 31 remains open with under two weeks left on the clock. [Polygon, May 12]

Speculation intensified after Best Buy affiliates reportedly received emails about a GTA 6 promotional preorder campaign running from May 18 to May 21, with Monday, May 18 floated as the preorder activation date. Forbes characterized the leak as more heavily corroborated than prior cycles, fueling expectations that a trailer drop would accompany the preorder window. The pattern matches prior Rockstar marketing rollouts, where major trailers have coincided with retail and platform commercial milestones. Fans had additionally noted that GTA 6 Trailer 2 dropped in a comparable May window the prior year, reinforcing the timing hypothesis around another GTA VI trailer released by May 31. [Forbes, May 14]

By May 18, 2026, IGN reported that the rumored preorder activation had failed to materialize, with no GTA 6 preorder pages going live on the expected date and no accompanying trailer. Rockstar Games' most recent public social activity centered on a Red Dead Online event promotion rather than GTA 6 content, a post that drew sharp reactions from a community primed for trailer news. With the Take-Two earnings call on May 21 remaining the next scheduled corporate catalyst before the May 31 deadline, the resolution path narrows to a roughly 10-day window. No official Rockstar communication has confirmed a third trailer release date as of May 18, 2026. [IGN, May 18]

Traded on Polymarket — $119K Volume

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