{
 "week": "2026-W16",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-04-13",
  "end": "2026-04-19"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.774578+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-04-19"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 42,
 "resolved_total": 72,
 "called_this_week": 6,
 "called_total": 6,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 2,
   "matched": 2,
   "pct": 100,
   "hold": 4,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 2,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 150.54,
    "roi_pct": 7.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 2,
   "matched": 2,
   "pct": 100,
   "hold": 4,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 2,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 150.54,
    "roi_pct": 7.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 0,
  "no_call": 66,
  "hold_verdicts": 4,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-trump-announce-that-the-us-x-iran-ceasefire-has-been-broken-by-april-21-2026",
   "title": "Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-19T14:22:06+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 723651.7591310007,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 10,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-17T00:43:33.818035+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-18-2026-456",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-19T08:29:02+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1200364.4156270055,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 12,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-17T00:43:33.671741+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-18-2026",
   "title": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-19T08:28:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1514293.8971720021,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.502408+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 75.27
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-announces-suspension-of-lebanon-offensive-by-april-17-2026",
   "title": "Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T21:04:48+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1420314.7017720048,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 12,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.727130+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-edmonton-oilers-win-the-pacific-division-823",
   "title": "Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T08:43:04+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 135976.7581059998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 17,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-16T00:27:53.286709+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-barcelona-win-the-202526-champions-league",
   "title": "Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T01:36:36+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 4481226.426851965,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.429377+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 75.27
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "will-the-phoenix-suns-make-the-nba-playoffs-557",
   "title": "Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T06:55:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-golden-state-warriors-make-the-nba-playoffs-223",
   "title": "Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T06:54:50+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-charlotte-hornets-win-the-nba-eastern-conference-finals",
   "title": "Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T06:20:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-17-2026",
   "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T06:16:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-orlando-magic-make-the-nba-playoffs-794",
   "title": "Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T05:13:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-charlotte-hornets-make-the-nba-playoffs-311",
   "title": "Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-18T05:10:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-real-betis-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-17T01:25:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-porto-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-17T01:17:22+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bologna-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-17T00:23:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-celta-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T21:49:20+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by-april-30-2026-989-656-528",
   "title": "Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T20:05:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by-june-30-2026-817-566-426-174",
   "title": "Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T20:05:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-vegas-golden-knights-win-the-pacific-division-474",
   "title": "Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T08:42:06+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-15-2026",
   "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T07:53:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-los-angeles-clippers-make-the-nba-playoffs",
   "title": "Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T07:17:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-philadelphia-76ers-make-the-nba-playoffs-553",
   "title": "Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T05:38:54+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-real-madrid-win-the-202526-champions-league",
   "title": "Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-16T05:33:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-anaheim-ducks-win-the-pacific-division-754",
   "title": "Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T07:53:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-portland-trail-blazers-make-the-nba-playoffs-772",
   "title": "Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T06:51:54+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-miami-heat-make-the-nba-playoffs-867",
   "title": "Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T05:01:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-liverpool-win-the-202526-champions-league",
   "title": "Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T01:30:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-paris-saint-germain-psg-reach-the-uefa-champions-league-semifinal",
   "title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-15T00:36:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "liberal-majority-in-canadian-parliament-by-june-30",
   "title": "Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-14T09:11:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-tampa-bay-lightning-win-the-atlantic-division-319",
   "title": "Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-14T06:39:59+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-montreal-canadiens-win-the-atlantic-division-811",
   "title": "Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-14T06:38:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-columbus-blue-jackets-win-the-eastern-conference",
   "title": "Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-14T05:48:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-spg-leader-dyson-daniels",
   "title": "Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T07:51:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-toronto-raptors-make-the-nba-playoffs-961",
   "title": "Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T02:42:51+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-new-york-knicks-win-more-than-53pt5-regular-season-games-in-202526",
   "title": "Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T02:25:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-scottie-scheffler-win-the-2026-masters-tournament",
   "title": "Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T02:17:21+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-rory-mcilroy-win-the-2026-masters-tournament",
   "title": "Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T02:15:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-justin-rose-win-the-2026-masters-tournament",
   "title": "Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T02:07:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-xander-schauffele-win-the-2026-masters-tournament",
   "title": "Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T01:07:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-fideszkdnp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-hungarian-parliamentary-election",
   "title": "Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T01:00:49+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-tisza-respect-and-freedom-party-tisza-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-hungarian-parliamentary-election",
   "title": "Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T00:44:01+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-ludvig-aberg-win-the-2026-masters-tournament",
   "title": "Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-13T00:15:05+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "6 of the 42 tracked markets that resolved in week 16 (2026-04-13 – 2026-04-19) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 2 of 2; 4 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 2 of 2 BUY verdicts hit (100%), ROI +7.5% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}