{
 "week": "2026-W17",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-04-20",
  "end": "2026-04-26"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.786504+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-04-25"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 27,
 "resolved_total": 99,
 "called_this_week": 14,
 "called_total": 20,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 7,
   "matched": 5,
   "pct": 71,
   "hold": 7,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 7,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -1225.36,
    "roi_pct": -17.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "sports": {
     "n": 3,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 9,
   "matched": 7,
   "pct": 78,
   "hold": 11,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 9,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -1074.82,
    "roi_pct": -11.9
   },
   "by_category": {
    "sports": {
     "n": 4,
     "matched": 4
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 0,
  "no_call": 79,
  "hold_verdicts": 11,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-the-ottawa-senators-win-the-eastern-conference",
   "title": "Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-26T01:46:56+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 322991.8470369999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 95,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-24T00:35:05.564304+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-ukraine-re-enter-rodynske-by-april-30",
   "title": "Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T21:48:20+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 424673.1158670009,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 20,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.610783+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-criminal-investigation-into-jerome-powell-be-dropped-by-april-30-918",
   "title": "Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T05:57:48+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 110550.45191599993,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 6,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-24T21:57:52.979502+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-june-30-813-454-138-725",
   "title": "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T00:30:22+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 5872191.781835967,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 91,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-19T00:46:59.772765+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 98.9
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-may-15-562-372-916-721-496",
   "title": "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T00:30:14+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 13670502.108909987,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-17T00:43:33.995271+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-23-2026",
   "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-24T07:19:10+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1978570.405371997,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 28,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-20T00:33:12.751246+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-april-22-2026",
   "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-23T07:34:32+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 26051734.516940523,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 17,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.367310+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-april-22-2026-321-831",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-23T07:32:32+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 2800625.589255933,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 68,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-20T17:56:11.893297+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-sixth-man-of-the-year-keldon-johnson",
   "title": "Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-23T02:02:34+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 126288.80046499995,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 88,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.664376+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 136.36
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "usdai-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch-994-421-787-418-812",
   "title": "USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
   "category": "crypto",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-23T00:25:00+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 371731.2626589998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 85,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.702177+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-21-2026",
   "title": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-22T06:53:28+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1495880.394649999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 80,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.517269+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 250.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-virginia-redistricting-referendum-pass",
   "title": "Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-22T03:51:32+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 2152332.3033369994,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 84,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.204781+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 190.48
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by-april-30-766-662-668-546",
   "title": "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-21T18:05:00+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 5780137.474477969,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 91,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-16T00:27:53.395001+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 98.9
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-april-19-2026",
   "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-20T07:51:50+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 940446.1060630018,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 17,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-15T00:59:39.719600+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "will-the-ottawa-senators-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup",
   "title": "Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-26T01:49:02+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-enter-kupiansk-vuzlovyi-by-april-30",
   "title": "Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T21:48:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-most-improved-player-deni-avdija",
   "title": "Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-25T02:09:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "usdai-fdv-above-300m-one-day-after-launch-673-643-134-327-974-316",
   "title": "USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-23T00:25:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-us-x-iran-ceasefire-be-extended-by-april-21-2026-365",
   "title": "US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-22T07:44:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by-april-21st",
   "title": "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-22T06:05:20+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-clutch-player-of-the-year-shai-gilgeous-alexander",
   "title": "Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-22T01:51:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-exactly-6-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-by-june-30",
   "title": "Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-21T11:19:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-defensive-player-of-the-year-chet-holmgren",
   "title": "Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-21T02:25:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-2025-26-defensive-player-of-the-year-victor-wembanyama",
   "title": "Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-21T02:24:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-john-ternus-be-the-next-ceo-of-apple",
   "title": "Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-21T00:05:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "tim-cook-out-as-apple-ceo-before-2027",
   "title": "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-20T23:30:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-luka-doncic-win-the-20252026-nba-mvp",
   "title": "Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-04-20T03:01:26+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "14 of the 27 tracked markets that resolved in week 17 (2026-04-20 – 2026-04-26) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 5 of 7; 7 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 7 of 9 BUY verdicts hit (78%), ROI -11.9% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}