{
 "week": "2026-W21",
 "period": {
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  "end": "2026-05-24"
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 "open_buy_calls": 108,
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    },
    "politics": {
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    },
    "sports": {
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    },
    "geopolitics": {
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     "matched": 2
    },
    "economics": {
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    }
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   "pct": 64,
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   "by_category": {
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    },
    "geopolitics": {
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    },
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    },
    "sports": {
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    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 3,
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    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 3,
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    }
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 },
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  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 0,
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 },
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   "title": "Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?",
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   "title": "Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?",
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   "title": "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?",
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   "slug": "will-arthur-fils-win-the-2026-mens-french-open",
   "title": "Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?",
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   "slug": "will-carlos-alcaraz-win-the-2026-mens-french-open",
   "title": "Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?",
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   "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?",
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   "slug": "will-jerome-powell-depart-as-fed-chair-between-may-15-and-may-22",
   "title": "Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?",
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   "slug": "will-iceman-drake-debut-week-album-sales-be-at-least-600k",
   "title": "Will \"Iceman\" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?",
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   "slug": "tulsi-gabbard-out-by-june-30",
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   "slug": "iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-21",
   "title": "Iran closes its airspace by May 21?",
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  {
   "slug": "us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-raul-castro",
   "title": "US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?",
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    "frozen_at": "2026-05-14T01:11:03.054870+00:00",
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  {
   "slug": "will-mothers-milk-die-in-the-boys-season-5",
   "title": "Will Mother's Milk die in \"The Boys: Season 5\"?",
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    "frozen_at": "2026-05-16T02:03:25.732858+00:00",
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  {
   "slug": "will-mike-thurmond-win-the-2026-georgia-governor-democratic-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?",
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   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T07:40:01+00:00",
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  },
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   "slug": "chirayu-rana-sued-by-may-31",
   "title": "Chirayu Rana sued?",
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  {
   "slug": "will-putin-visit-china-by-may-31",
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    "frozen_at": "2026-05-14T01:11:03.382336+00:00",
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   "wallet_side": {
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   "slug": "will-keisha-lance-bottoms-win-the-2026-georgia-governor-democratic-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?",
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  },
  {
   "slug": "will-ed-gallrein-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ky-04",
   "title": "Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?",
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   "final_price_c": 100,
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    "side": "NO",
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    "call": true,
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    "frozen_at": "2026-05-06T10:10:00.171305+00:00",
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   },
   "wallet_side": {
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    "snapshot_at": "2026-05-15T22:04:00+00:00",
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   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-thomas-massie-be-the-republican-nominee-for-ky-04",
   "title": "Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T03:12:14+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
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    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
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    "frozen_at": "2026-04-14T22:41:42.841091+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
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   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
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    "snapshot_at": "2026-05-15T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.375
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   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-manchester-city-win-the-202526-english-premier-league",
   "title": "Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T00:18:33+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
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   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
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    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.394686+00:00",
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   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
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  },
  {
   "slug": "will-arsenal-win-the-202526-english-premier-league",
   "title": "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T00:17:34+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
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    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 60,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.674853+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 666.67
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-may-15",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T21:47:23+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 17940559.114660934,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 81,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-24T21:57:52.286773+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 234.57
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-05-07T10:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.945
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30-224-585-669",
   "title": "Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T20:28:10+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 382180.9927819992,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 8,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-16T02:03:25.922611+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-05-18T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.917
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-buffalo-sabres-win-the-eastern-conference",
   "title": "Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T06:06:24+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 231380.7594479998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 12,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-19T00:46:59.200360+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-detroit-pistons-win-the-2026-nba-finals",
   "title": "Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T05:59:36+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 19122304.712672807,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 6,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.404863+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "fl1-lil-aja-2026-05-17-lil",
   "title": "Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T02:04:22+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 221684.83135200042,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 70,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-14T01:11:03.416102+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "fl1-lyo-rcl-2026-05-17-lyo",
   "title": "Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T01:44:39+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 4549665.034592006,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 45,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-14T01:11:03.401044+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 1222.22
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "will-erling-haaland-be-the-top-goal-scorer-in-the-202526-english-premier-league-season",
   "title": "Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-24T21:24:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "epl-bur-wol-2026-05-24-wol",
   "title": "Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-24T19:52:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-wsh-atl-2026-05-23",
   "title": "Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-24T01:20:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-min-bos-2026-05-23",
   "title": "Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-24T01:18:47+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-no-male-player-win-a-calendar-grand-slam-in-2026",
   "title": "Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-23T10:29:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nym-wsh-2026-05-21",
   "title": "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-22T00:03:20+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-may-31-2026",
   "title": "Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T23:03:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cle-det-2026-05-20",
   "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T02:09:54+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-atl-mia-2026-05-20",
   "title": "Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T01:52:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nym-wsh-2026-05-20",
   "title": "New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T01:47:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-54-by-december-31-2026",
   "title": "Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T01:12:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-freiburg-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T00:45:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-aston-villa-win-the-2025-26-uefa-europa-league",
   "title": "Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T00:43:37+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cws-sea-2026-05-20",
   "title": "Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T00:30:05+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tex-col-2026-05-20",
   "title": "Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-21T00:16:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-manchester-city-finish-in-2nd-place-in-the-2025-26-english-premier-league",
   "title": "Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T00:20:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-arsenal-finish-in-2nd-place-in-the-2025-26-english-premier-league",
   "title": "Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-20T00:19:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-atl-mia-2026-05-19",
   "title": "Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T23:30:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-closes-its-airspace-by-may-18",
   "title": "Iran closes its airspace by May 18?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T06:55:54+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-buffalo-sabres-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup",
   "title": "Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T06:06:23+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cin-phi-2026-05-18",
   "title": "Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-19T01:39:53+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-detroit-pistons-win-the-nba-eastern-conference-finals",
   "title": "Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T06:00:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-shai-gilgeous-alexander-win-the-20252026-nba-mvp",
   "title": "Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T05:53:35+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-victor-wembanyama-win-the-20252026-nba-mvp",
   "title": "Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T05:53:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-ari-col-2026-05-17",
   "title": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-05-18T00:24:39+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "30 of the 55 tracked markets that resolved in week 21 (2026-05-18 – 2026-05-24) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 12 of 20; 10 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 63 of 99 BUY verdicts hit (64%), ROI -17.5% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}