{
 "week": "2026-W26",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-06-22",
  "end": "2026-06-28"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.905475+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-06-25"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 53,
 "resolved_total": 671,
 "called_this_week": 10,
 "called_total": 309,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 5,
   "matched": 2,
   "pct": 40,
   "hold": 5,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 5,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -2513.13,
    "roi_pct": -50.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "sports": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 195,
   "matched": 123,
   "pct": 63,
   "hold": 114,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 195,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -16608.14,
    "roi_pct": -8.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 62,
     "matched": 42
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 49,
     "matched": 33
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 36,
     "matched": 26
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 33,
     "matched": 19
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 1,
  "no_call": 362,
  "hold_verdicts": 114,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-on-california-ballot",
   "title": "Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T07:04:38+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 247102.59078999606,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 23,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-14T22:41:42.596289+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-neymar-play-in-the-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Neymar play in the World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T01:43:50+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 3533769.484221939,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 18,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-29T23:43:52.082071+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-23T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.935
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-switzerland-win-group-a-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T00:08:26+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 594764.7889330023,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 42,
    "frozen_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:45.601051+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-ivan-cepeda-castro-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
   "title": "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T19:52:41+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 7331927.18613499,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 38,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-23T00:48:00.740705+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T10:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.115
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
   "title": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T19:45:29+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 6883971.476312924,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 43,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-15T10:11:03.135827+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-18T10:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.115
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-aj-dybantsa-be-the-first-pick-in-the-2026-nba-draft",
   "title": "Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T03:34:38+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 323491.13253300055,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 78,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-26T23:54:27.758481+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 282.05
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-pamela-evette-win-the-2026-south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-election-972",
   "title": "Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T03:28:23+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 352278.3710620004,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-30T23:41:09.804198+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-23T15:25:32+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 12147872.86032706,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 83,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-26T23:54:27.442818+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 204.82
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-donald-trump-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",
   "title": "Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T05:12:46+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 459647.57852300006,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 94,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-24T00:35:05.230239+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-17T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.915
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-june-30-20260609184136054",
   "title": "Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T00:29:05+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 3310592.7673979993,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 82,
    "frozen_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:45.367891+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-alg-aut-2026-06-27-draw",
   "title": "Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T04:19:49+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-alg-aut-2026-06-27-alg",
   "title": "Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T04:16:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-alg-aut-2026-06-27-aut",
   "title": "Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T04:15:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-england-win-group-l-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T02:09:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-col-prt-2026-06-27-col",
   "title": "Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T01:42:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-col-prt-2026-06-27-prt",
   "title": "Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-28T01:40:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-hrv-gha-2026-06-27-hrv",
   "title": "Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T23:28:19+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-hrv-gha-2026-06-27-draw",
   "title": "Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T23:17:53+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tex-tor-2026-06-27",
   "title": "Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T22:39:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26",
   "title": "Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T06:06:05+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-cvi-ksa-2026-06-26-cvi",
   "title": "Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T02:14:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-cvi-ksa-2026-06-26-ksa",
   "title": "Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-27T02:14:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-iraq-advance-to-the-knockout-stages-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T23:06:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-nor-fra-2026-06-26-nor",
   "title": "Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T21:11:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-tur-usa-2026-06-25-tur",
   "title": "Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T04:22:38+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-tur-usa-2026-06-25-usa",
   "title": "Will United States win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T04:18:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-par-aus-2026-06-25-draw",
   "title": "Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T04:14:52+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-jpn-swe-2026-06-25-jpn",
   "title": "Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T01:10:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-tun-nld-2026-06-25-nld",
   "title": "Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T01:10:38+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-migu-wild-2026-06-23",
   "title": "Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-26T00:11:53+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-oak-sf-2026-06-25",
   "title": "Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T22:58:19+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-ecu-ger-2026-06-25-ger",
   "title": "Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T22:13:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-kor-civ-2026-06-25-kor",
   "title": "Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T22:09:35+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-cze-mex-2026-06-24-mex",
   "title": "Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T03:14:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-brazil-advance-to-the-knockout-stages-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T02:04:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cle-cws-2026-06-24",
   "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-25T00:29:37+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-bal-laa-2026-06-24",
   "title": "Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T23:44:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-paloma-valencia-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election",
   "title": "Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T20:06:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-steve-hershey-win-the-2026-maryland-governor-republican-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T06:03:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-dan-cox-win-the-2026-maryland-governor-republican-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T05:51:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-alex-bores-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12",
   "title": "Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T05:40:01+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-alan-wilson-win-the-2026-south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-election-725",
   "title": "Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T03:16:20+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-hou-tor-2026-06-23",
   "title": "Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-24T00:03:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-senegal-win-group-i-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-23T05:08:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-nor-sen-2026-06-22-nor",
   "title": "Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-23T02:14:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-draw",
   "title": "Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-23T01:00:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-villanu-villalo-2026-06-22",
   "title": "Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Villalon",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T23:25:19+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-almeida-ambrogi-2026-06-22",
   "title": "Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T23:23:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-arg",
   "title": "Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T19:22:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548-219-739-726-569-741-645",
   "title": "Starmer out by June 30, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T10:40:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-marco-rubio-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",
   "title": "Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T05:14:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-trump-agree-to-withdraw-troops-from-the-iranian-region-by-june-30",
   "title": "Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T00:34:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-december-31-20260609184136058",
   "title": "Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-06-22T00:29:05+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "10 of the 53 tracked markets that resolved in week 26 (2026-06-22 – 2026-06-28) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 2 of 5; 5 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 123 of 195 BUY verdicts hit (63%), ROI -8.5% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}