{
 "week": "2026-W28",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-07-06",
  "end": "2026-07-12"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.932458+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-07-12"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 59,
 "resolved_total": 866,
 "called_this_week": 9,
 "called_total": 378,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 4,
   "matched": 4,
   "pct": 100,
   "hold": 5,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 4,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 1700.06,
    "roi_pct": 42.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "sports": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 233,
   "matched": 157,
   "pct": 67,
   "hold": 145,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 233,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -12313.86,
    "roi_pct": -5.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 78,
     "matched": 57
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 62,
     "matched": 44
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 42,
     "matched": 31
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 35,
     "matched": 21
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 8,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 1,
  "no_call": 488,
  "hold_verdicts": 145,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-a-team-from-lck-south-korea-win-msi-2026",
   "title": "Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T13:58:25+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 491493.96880000015,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 31,
    "frozen_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:45.632009+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
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   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-a-team-from-lpl-china-win-msi-2026",
   "title": "Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T13:55:29+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 398431.51961900055,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 73,
    "frozen_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:45.394367+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 369.86
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-norway-reach-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final",
   "title": "Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:48:43+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 689414.8660879991,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 84,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:49.242384+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 190.48
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
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   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T15:27:17+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 44111324.778536566,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
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    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 37,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-24T21:57:52.923427+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
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   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 4,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-26T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.947
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-usa-reach-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final",
   "title": "Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T04:01:44+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 503777.87402000104,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-03T00:37:44.794883+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-06T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.94
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-portugal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-912",
   "title": "Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T00:12:26+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 109092961.84747173,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.384709+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-16T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.896
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election",
   "title": "Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T13:42:37+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 36601896.005035795,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 12,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T23:17:41.580249+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-03T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.28
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-keiko-fujimori-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election",
   "title": "Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T13:41:52+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 21817048.613106236,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 49,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T23:17:41.611136+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 1040.82
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-03T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.275
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-brazil-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-183",
   "title": "Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T01:16:04+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 81936874.65550427,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 91,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.389556+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 98.9
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-22T22:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.945
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "mlb-ari-lad-2026-07-12",
   "title": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T23:21:07+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tor-sd-2026-07-12",
   "title": "Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T23:00:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-col-sf-2026-07-12",
   "title": "Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T22:45:02+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-jannik-sinner-be-the-2026-mens-wimbledon-winner",
   "title": "Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T22:17:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-norway-be-eliminated-in-the-quarterfinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224223840",
   "title": "Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:53:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-norway-win-the-world-cup-20260605224223843",
   "title": "Will Norway win the World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:50:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-a-player-representing-norway-be-the-top-goalscorer-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:50:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-norway-be-eliminated-in-the-final-of-the-world-cup-20260605224223842",
   "title": "Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:50:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-norway-be-eliminated-in-the-semifinals-of-the-world-cup-20260605224223841",
   "title": "Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T01:50:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-phi-det-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T00:55:01+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-nor-eng-2026-07-11-draw",
   "title": "Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T00:05:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-nor-eng-2026-07-11-eng",
   "title": "Will England win on 2026-07-11?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:37+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-nor-eng-2026-07-11-nor",
   "title": "Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-12T00:00:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-bos-nym-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:25:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-mil-pit-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:24:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sea-tb-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:24:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nyy-wsh-2026-07-11",
   "title": "New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:20:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cle-mia-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:18:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-galarne-fearnle-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T23:05:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-col-sf-2026-07-11",
   "title": "Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T22:39:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-adam-miller-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election",
   "title": "Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T17:17:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-10-2026-20260622191708360",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-11T06:02:50+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sea-mia-2026-07-09",
   "title": "Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-10T01:49:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-phi-cin-2026-07-09",
   "title": "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-10T01:45:25+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-oak-det-2026-07-09",
   "title": "Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-10T01:27:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-casanov-ambrogi-2026-07-08",
   "title": "Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T22:45:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "openai-receives-federal-backstop-for-infrastructure-before-july",
   "title": "OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T03:16:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-graham-platner-drop-out-by-july-17-974-785-861",
   "title": "Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T02:22:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-hou-wsh-2026-07-08",
   "title": "Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T01:58:25+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-chc-bal-2026-07-08",
   "title": "Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T01:51:01+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-oak-det-2026-07-08",
   "title": "Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T01:44:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nyy-tb-2026-07-08",
   "title": "New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T01:19:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-atl-pit-2026-07-08",
   "title": "Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-09T01:17:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-galarne-ficovic-2026-07-07",
   "title": "Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovich",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-08T23:16:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-t1-win-msi-2026-20260615160658468",
   "title": "Will T1 win MSI 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-08T11:55:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-masoud-pezeshkian-attend-the-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232204727",
   "title": "Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-08T06:04:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-between-40-and-60-average-daily-transits-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-june-30",
   "title": "Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T16:28:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-60-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-june-30-2026",
   "title": "Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T16:27:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-80-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-june-30-2026",
   "title": "Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T16:27:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-2026-743",
   "title": "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T15:46:17+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-usa-reach-the-semifinals-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260602145149721",
   "title": "Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T04:01:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-bel",
   "title": "Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T02:13:02+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-draw",
   "title": "Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T02:10:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-usa",
   "title": "Will United States win on 2026-07-06?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-07T02:10:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-minions-monsters-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-68m-and-77m",
   "title": "Will \"Minions & Monsters\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T21:47:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-mexico-reach-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final",
   "title": "Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T05:07:05+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-64k-june-29-july-5-2026",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T04:42:34+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-3-2026-20260622191708359",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T02:34:22+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-mia-oak-2026-07-05",
   "title": "Miami Marlins vs. Athletics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T00:15:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-neymar-score-1-goals-during-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260611145108553",
   "title": "Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-06T00:05:19+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "9 of the 59 tracked markets that resolved in week 28 (2026-07-06 – 2026-07-12) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 4 of 4; 5 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 157 of 233 BUY verdicts hit (67%), ROI -5.3% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}