{
 "week": "2026-W29",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-07-13",
  "end": "2026-07-19"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.944765+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-07-18"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 37,
 "resolved_total": 903,
 "called_this_week": 7,
 "called_total": 385,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 6,
   "matched": 3,
   "pct": 50,
   "hold": 1,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 6,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -2442.4,
    "roi_pct": -40.7
   },
   "by_category": {
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 4,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 239,
   "matched": 160,
   "pct": 67,
   "hold": 146,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 239,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -14756.26,
    "roi_pct": -6.2
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 79,
     "matched": 58
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 66,
     "matched": 46
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 42,
     "matched": 31
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 36,
     "matched": 21
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 8,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 1,
  "no_call": 518,
  "hold_verdicts": 146,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-july-17-2026-20260625223459704",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T06:05:48.713194+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 967848.7446789986,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 83,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:49.237845+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 204.82
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-july-15-2026",
   "title": "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T06:04:56+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1559549.9405560012,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-09T02:12:38.709958+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 86.96
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-08T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.924
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-full-airspace-closure-by-july-15-20260625195254149",
   "title": "Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T06:02:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 2765135.5831030095,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 79,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-09T02:12:38.959645+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 265.82
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-12T10:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.106
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-england-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-937",
   "title": "Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T00:11:11+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 110162254.18757918,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 11,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-19T10:06:38.209886+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-21T10:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.126
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-france-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-924",
   "title": "Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-15T00:07:37+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 132448346.86106883,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 17,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.335986+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-us-announce-a-blockade-on-iran-by-july-31-20260622191116912",
   "title": "Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T16:31:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1860330.9093940007,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 77,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-09T02:12:38.722795+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-13T10:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.695
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-us-announce-a-blockade-on-iran-by-december-31-20260622191116913-141",
   "title": "Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T16:26:59+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 372562.7900900001,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 53,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-12T01:51:58.871848+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "atp-rodesch-ivashka-2026-07-19",
   "title": "Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T23:37:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-det-laa-2026-07-19",
   "title": "Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T23:13:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-wsh-oak-2026-07-19",
   "title": "Washington Nationals vs. Athletics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T23:07:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sf-sea-2026-07-19",
   "title": "San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T23:03:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",
   "title": "President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T22:58:25+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "fifwc-esp-arg-2026-07-19-esp",
   "title": "Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T22:21:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kylian-mbappe-score-11-goals-during-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-20260701231444070",
   "title": "Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T01:10:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kylian-mbappe-score-10-goals-during-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T00:31:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tb-bos-2026-07-18",
   "title": "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T00:15:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kylian-mbappe-score-9-goals-during-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-copy",
   "title": "Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-19T00:15:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-bal-hou-2026-07-18",
   "title": "Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T23:57:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-mia-mil-2026-07-18",
   "title": "Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T23:33:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tex-atl-2026-07-18",
   "title": "Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T23:25:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-stl-ari-2026-07-18",
   "title": "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T23:12:22+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sd-kc-2026-07-18",
   "title": "San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T22:57:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-between-5-and-7-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-in-2026",
   "title": "Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-18T22:50:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-santill-valient-2026-07-17",
   "title": "Pozoblanco: Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-17T22:46:07+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nym-phi-2026-07-16",
   "title": "New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-17T01:07:24.574676+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-7-20260625174256255",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-17T00:30:55+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-palan-valient-2026-07-16",
   "title": "Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T23:43:25+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-smith-matsuok-2026-07-16",
   "title": "Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T22:38:59+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mojtaba-khamenei-seen-in-public-by-july-15-155",
   "title": "Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T06:14:01+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-closes-its-airspace-by-july-15-182",
   "title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-16T06:05:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-65k-in-july-2026",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-14T22:34:38+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-blake-lively-attend-taylor-swifts-wedding",
   "title": "Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-14T19:19:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-wti-reach-80-in-july-2026-791",
   "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-14T02:21:34.352998+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-rodesch-alkaya-2026-07-13",
   "title": "Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T23:00:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-inchaus-stewart-2026-07-13",
   "title": "Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T22:56:26+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-patrick-mahomes-attend-taylor-swifts-wedding",
   "title": "Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T22:29:48.269762+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-lana-del-rey-attend-taylor-swifts-wedding",
   "title": "Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-13T17:18:41+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "7 of the 37 tracked markets that resolved in week 29 (2026-07-13 – 2026-07-19) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 3 of 6; 1 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 160 of 239 BUY verdicts hit (67%), ROI -6.2% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}