{
 "week": "2026-W30",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-07-20",
  "end": "2026-07-26"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.956991+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-07-20"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 35,
 "resolved_total": 938,
 "called_this_week": 5,
 "called_total": 390,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 3,
   "matched": 1,
   "pct": 33,
   "hold": 2,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 3,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 2882.35,
    "roi_pct": 96.1
   },
   "by_category": {
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 242,
   "matched": 161,
   "pct": 67,
   "hold": 148,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 242,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -11873.91,
    "roi_pct": -4.9
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 80,
     "matched": 58
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 67,
     "matched": 46
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 42,
     "matched": 31
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 8,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 2,
  "no_call": 548,
  "hold_verdicts": 148,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",
   "title": "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T16:05:10+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 2332911.9775859965,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 77,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-27T23:43:38.461116+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-gustavo-petro-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-576",
   "title": "Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T13:19:10+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1230522.4967480002,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 45,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-30T23:41:09.799904+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-06-19T10:03:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.47
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-argentina-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-245",
   "title": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T01:24:43+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 174315688.25573426,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 9,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-19T10:06:38.205581+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-spain-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-963",
   "title": "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T01:14:28+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 152168021.58979887,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 17,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.330930+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 4882.35
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "world-cup-goalkeeper-to-score-20260607161409835",
   "title": "World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?",
   "category": "sports",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T00:10:00+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1160581.1818200096,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 95,
    "frozen_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:45.336666+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "mlb-laa-sf-2026-07-26",
   "title": "Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-26T22:56:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-nyy-phi-2026-07-25",
   "title": "New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-26T01:06:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cle-tb-2026-07-25",
   "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-26T00:53:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-leama-smit-2026-07-25",
   "title": "Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-25T23:46:04+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sd-mia-2026-07-25",
   "title": "San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-25T23:44:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-ari-wsh-2026-07-25",
   "title": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-25T22:58:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-closes-its-airspace-by-july-24",
   "title": "Israel closes its airspace by July 24?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-25T06:02:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-enter-krasnoiarske-by-july-31",
   "title": "Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-23T23:35:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-monday-shimizu-2026-07-23",
   "title": "Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizu",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-23T22:57:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-houthis-successfully-target-shipping-by-july-31-2026-20260708165455693-459",
   "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-23T04:06:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-houthis-successfully-target-shipping-by-august-31-2026-20260708165455694-787",
   "title": "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-23T01:59:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-lajal-ruiz-2026-07-22",
   "title": "Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-23T00:42:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-stl-laa-2026-07-22",
   "title": "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-22T22:59:19+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cin-sea-2026-07-22",
   "title": "Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-22T22:30:49.808824+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-min-cle-2026-07-21",
   "title": "Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-22T01:37:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-lajal-blanc-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanch",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T23:17:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-suresh-harris-2026-07-21",
   "title": "Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Billy Harris",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T23:04:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-bulgaru-hennema-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Palermo: Miriam Bulgaru vs Caijsa Hennemann",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T22:39:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T16:19:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tb-tor-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T01:53:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-galarne-ruiz-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Bloomfield Hills: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
   "won": "INVALID",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T01:47:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-min-cle-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-21T01:41:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-mazzola-spiteri-2026-07-20",
   "title": "Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteri",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T23:19:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-shabana-mahmood-be-the-next-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-of-the-uk-in-2026-20260621005429785",
   "title": "Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T19:38:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "claudio-tapia-out-as-afa-president-by-july-19-2026",
   "title": "Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T18:49:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-keir-starmer-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-565",
   "title": "Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T13:22:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-65k-in-july-2026-from-july-16",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T00:25:50.639886+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-england-score-the-most-goals-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T00:19:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kylian-mbappe-be-the-top-goalscorer-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T00:19:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-argentina-score-the-most-goals-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup",
   "title": "Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-07-20T00:13:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "5 of the 35 tracked markets that resolved in week 30 (2026-07-20 – 2026-07-26) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 1 of 3; 2 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 161 of 242 BUY verdicts hit (67%), ROI -4.9% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}