{
 "week": "2026-W32",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-08-03",
  "end": "2026-08-09"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.982334+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-08-05"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 29,
 "resolved_total": 1013,
 "called_this_week": 5,
 "called_total": 415,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 3,
   "matched": 3,
   "pct": 100,
   "hold": 2,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 3,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 1575.51,
    "roi_pct": 52.5
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 257,
   "matched": 175,
   "pct": 68,
   "hold": 157,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 257,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -8356.19,
    "roi_pct": -3.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 85,
     "matched": 62
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 71,
     "matched": 50
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 45,
     "matched": 34
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 11,
     "matched": 6
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 8,
  "no_call": 598,
  "hold_verdicts": 157,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-abdul-el-sayed-win-the-2026-michigan-democratic-primary",
   "title": "Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T17:16:20+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 2455198.1083029993,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 57,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-22T10:11:05.445770+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-haley-stevens-win-the-2026-michigan-democratic-primary",
   "title": "Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T17:15:23+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1430894.6206599993,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 63,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-26T23:45:45.587825+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 587.3
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-60-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-2026-20260626152655082-171-832",
   "title": "Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T03:01:27+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 288057.43461,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 88,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:49.363480+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 136.36
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",
   "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-04T18:19:27+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 24291657.998471,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 54,
    "frozen_at": "2026-05-14T01:11:03.426514+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 851.85
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-11T22:04:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.065
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-july-31-20260716224448968-384-155-519-798-243",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T22:31:56+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 3394417.890313,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 12,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-26T23:45:46.154331+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "mlb-oak-bos-2026-08-08",
   "title": "Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-08T23:18:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-august-7-2026-20260727171523690",
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-08T06:01:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-vinicius-junior-stay-at-real-madrid-20260612232836565",
   "title": "Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-08T00:14:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-vinicius-junior-join-arsenal-20260612232836553",
   "title": "Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-07T23:21:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-30-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-2026",
   "title": "Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-07T09:37:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-norrie-minaur-2026-08-06",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-06T22:59:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "no-change-in-bank-of-mexicos-interest-rates-after-august-2026-meeting",
   "title": "No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-06T21:09:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-bank-of-brazil-decrease-the-target-for-the-selic-rate-by-25-bps-at-the-august-meeting",
   "title": "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-06T02:57:41+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-mertens-bondar-2026-08-06",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondar",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T23:49:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-michels-cerundo-2026-08-06",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T23:07:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-udvardy-osaka-2026-08-06",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T22:54:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-zverev-grieksp-2026-08-06",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T22:36:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-2026",
   "title": "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T14:54:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-al-mina-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-virginia",
   "title": "Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T03:04:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kim-farington-be-the-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-virginia",
   "title": "Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-05T02:55:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-shang-rublev-2026-08-04",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-04T23:36:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-friend-smith-2026-08-03",
   "title": "Lexington: Jay Dylan Friend vs Colton Smith",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-04T22:52:47+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-loge-agameno-2026-08-03",
   "title": "Plovdiv 2: Jack Loge vs Franco Agamenone",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-04T22:38:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-july-31",
   "title": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-04T20:14:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-galarne-kopriva-2026-08-03",
   "title": "Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T23:05:29+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-kasints-parks-2026-08-03",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Alycia Parks",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T23:02:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-duckwor-oconnel-2026-08-02",
   "title": "National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T22:56:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-zhao-linette-2026-08-03",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T22:51:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-tjen-samsono-2026-08-03",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonova",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-03T22:31:30+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "5 of the 29 tracked markets that resolved in week 32 (2026-08-03 – 2026-08-09) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 3 of 3; 2 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 175 of 257 BUY verdicts hit (68%), ROI -3.3% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}