{
 "week": "2026-W33",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-08-10",
  "end": "2026-08-16"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:11.994674+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-08-14"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 52,
 "resolved_total": 1065,
 "called_this_week": 4,
 "called_total": 419,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 4,
   "matched": 3,
   "pct": 75,
   "hold": 0,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 4,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 327.7,
    "roi_pct": 8.2
   },
   "by_category": {
    "politics": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 2
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 261,
   "matched": 178,
   "pct": 68,
   "hold": 157,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 261,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -8028.49,
    "roi_pct": -3.1
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 85,
     "matched": 62
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 73,
     "matched": 52
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 47,
     "matched": 35
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 11,
     "matched": 6
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 8,
  "no_call": 646,
  "hold_verdicts": 157,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-count-binface-get-second-place-in-the-clacton-by-election-copy-20260707214646969",
   "title": "Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T09:56:40+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 581180.9242059999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 22,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-26T23:45:46.254632+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-count-binface-win-the-clacton-by-election-20260707211451133",
   "title": "Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T08:37:43+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 3692242.2185240006,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:49.212206+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 86.96
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-august-31-20260715194822047",
   "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T18:04:28+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1855057.5608449993,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 72,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-26T23:45:45.888783+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 388.89
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 3,
    "wallets": 3,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-08-11T10:10:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.95
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-july-31-20260715194822045",
   "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T18:04:28+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 8917606.208237005,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 54,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-26T23:45:45.814901+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 851.85
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "wta-fernand-wan-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wang",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:56:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-blinkov-alexand-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:53:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-sd-cle-2026-08-16",
   "title": "San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:50:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-col-sf-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:30:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-mil-lad-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:18:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-tex-oak-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Texas Rangers vs. Athletics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:02:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-bos-pit-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T23:02:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-siniako-maneiro-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T22:56:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-aguilar-bergs-2026-08-16",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T22:43:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-petr-yan-fight-merab-dvalishvili-next",
   "title": "Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T12:00:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-august-15-2026",
   "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T07:08:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "untitled-market-1-20260803235754057",
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T06:47:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-closes-its-airspace-by-august-15",
   "title": "Israel closes its airspace by August 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T06:08:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "iran-full-airspace-closure-by-august-15",
   "title": "Iran full airspace closure by August 15?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T06:05:16+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-august-15-2026-20260713152715083-347-987-697-628-574-676",
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-16T06:02:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-wsh-nym-2026-08-15",
   "title": "Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-15T23:21:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-halys-minaur-2026-08-15",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaur",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-15T22:42:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-gpt-6-be-released-by-august-14-2026",
   "title": "Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-15T06:00:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-medjedo-trungel-2026-08-14",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T23:26:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-stoiana-valento-2026-08-14",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T23:25:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-marozsa-zheng-2026-08-14",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T23:21:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-marcelo-attend-cristiano-ronaldos-wedding-20260803185630259",
   "title": "Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T20:16:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-count-binface-win-2030-of-votes-in-the-clacton-parliamentary-by-election-20260708142507721",
   "title": "Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T11:35:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-count-binface-win-less-than-10-of-votes-in-the-clacton-parliamentary-by-election-20260708142507719",
   "title": "Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T11:12:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-nigel-farage-win-7080-of-votes-in-the-clacton-parliamentary-by-election-20260708151424125",
   "title": "Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T11:10:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-nigel-farage-win-at-least-80-of-votes-in-the-clacton-parliamentary-by-election-20260708151424126",
   "title": "Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T11:10:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-nigel-farage-win-the-2026-clacton-by-election-by-60-or-more-20260709153837821",
   "title": "Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T11:01:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-13-2026-20260621201255152",
   "title": "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-14T08:38:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-kozlov-wendelk-2026-08-13",
   "title": "Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T23:51:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-bucsa-udvardy-2026-08-13",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T23:23:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-tirante-choinsk-2026-08-13",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T23:04:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kai-and-speed-have-between-30-and-49-total-in-game-deaths-during-their-minecraft-marathon-20260807054442842",
   "title": "Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T21:16:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-lisa-demuth-win-the-2026-minnesota-governor-republican-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T15:34:19+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-august-9-20260727170733638",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T12:02:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-mike-lindell-win-the-2026-minnesota-governor-republican-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T08:12:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kai-and-speed-beat-the-minecraft-challenge-by-august-16-20260807213124705",
   "title": "Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T00:09:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-kai-and-speed-beat-the-minecraft-challenge-by-august-17-20260807213124706",
   "title": "Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-13T00:09:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-blanche-sakamot-2026-08-10",
   "title": "Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T23:47:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-col-ari-2026-08-12",
   "title": "Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T22:58:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-kozlov-mayo-2026-08-11",
   "title": "Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T22:51:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-hou-sf-2026-08-12",
   "title": "Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T22:29:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-francesca-hong-win-the-2026-wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T20:12:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-by-august-14-20260715194822046",
   "title": "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-12T18:03:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-mensik-shelton-2026-08-11",
   "title": "National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-11T23:53:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-sakatsu-jeanjea-2026-08-11",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Leolia Jeanjean",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-11T23:38:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-zakharo-stefani-2026-08-11",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-11T23:35:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-stoiana-erjavec-2026-08-11",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-11T23:33:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-assche-heide-2026-08-11",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Gustavo Heide",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-11T23:22:42+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "4 of the 52 tracked markets that resolved in week 33 (2026-08-10 – 2026-08-16) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 3 of 4. Cumulative record: 178 of 261 BUY verdicts hit (68%), ROI -3.1% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}