{
 "week": "2026-W34",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-08-17",
  "end": "2026-08-23"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-09-04T09:00:12.007230+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-08-21"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 108,
 "resolved_this_week": 37,
 "resolved_total": 1102,
 "called_this_week": 5,
 "called_total": 424,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 4,
   "matched": 4,
   "pct": 100,
   "hold": 1,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 4,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 1841.51,
    "roi_pct": 46.0
   },
   "by_category": {
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 3,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 265,
   "matched": 182,
   "pct": 69,
   "hold": 158,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 265,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -6186.98,
    "roi_pct": -2.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 85,
     "matched": 62
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 76,
     "matched": 55
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 48,
     "matched": 36
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 11,
     "matched": 6
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 7,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 8,
  "no_call": 678,
  "hold_verdicts": 158,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",
   "title": "US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T08:47:27+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 2894249.7596790027,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 42,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-12T01:51:58.857273+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 1380.95
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-18-2026-20260621201255153",
   "title": "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T06:11:57+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 2730303.833568,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:48.976191+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 86.96
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-07-27T10:06:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.95
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-byron-donalds-be-the-republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",
   "title": "Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T03:01:46+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1495808.9805130004,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 89,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.767973+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 123.6
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-james-fishback-be-the-republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",
   "title": "Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T03:01:46+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 6462255.492774996,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 6,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.574251+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-iran-announce-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-by-august-15-881-867",
   "title": "Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T00:30:55+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 1530015.7302569998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 80,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-12T01:51:58.674011+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 250.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "mlb-chc-sea-2026-08-23",
   "title": "Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T23:40:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-udvardy-vidmano-2026-08-23",
   "title": "Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanova",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T23:37:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-cin-ari-2026-08-23",
   "title": "Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T23:23:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-august-22-2026",
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T06:01:30+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-nakashi-tiafoe-2026-08-22",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T01:30:28+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-stl-phi-2026-08-22",
   "title": "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T00:51:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-liang-kraus-2026-08-22",
   "title": "Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Kraus",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-23T00:03:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-pegula-swiatek-2026-08-22",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-22T23:23:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-wsh-mia-2026-08-22",
   "title": "Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-22T23:11:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "lal-esp-rea-2026-08-22-rea",
   "title": "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-22T21:46:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-by-august-21-2026",
   "title": "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-22T06:01:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-bergs-sakella-2026-08-21",
   "title": "Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T23:36:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-royer-chidekh-2026-08-21",
   "title": "Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekh",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T23:00:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-fritz-nakashi-2026-08-21",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T22:50:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-atl-mil-2026-08-21",
   "title": "Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T22:48:46+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-77pt5k-in-august-2026",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T08:45:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-carabel-echargu-2026-08-20",
   "title": "Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echargui",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T02:54:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-solana-reach-90-in-august-2026",
   "title": "Will Solana reach $90 in August?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T02:52:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-wsh-tex-2026-08-20",
   "title": "Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-21T02:45:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "mlb-ari-bos-2026-08-19",
   "title": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T23:47:48+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-virtane-echargu-2026-08-18",
   "title": "Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T23:44:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-zverev-paul-2026-08-19",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T22:44:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by-december-31-2026-936-942-271-276-578-687-312-238-912",
   "title": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T21:32:13+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-67pt5k-in-august-2026",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T15:38:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-megan-degenfelder-win-the-2026-wyoming-governor-republican-primary-election",
   "title": "Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-19T05:58:31+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-faria-walton-2026-08-18",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-18T23:52:12+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-bejlek-alexand-2026-08-18",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-18T23:34:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-august-15-20260716224448969-246-815-987-693",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-18T18:17:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-65k-in-august-2026-from-august-10",
   "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-18T14:41:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-jodar-tabilo-2026-08-17",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-17T23:51:58+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-shnaide-chwalin-2026-08-17",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-17T23:26:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "wta-cirstea-kalinsk-2026-08-17",
   "title": "Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-08-17T23:01:43+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "5 of the 37 tracked markets that resolved in week 34 (2026-08-17 – 2026-08-23) had an AI verdict frozen before the close. BUY verdicts hit the outcome in 4 of 4; 1 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative record: 182 of 265 BUY verdicts hit (69%), ROI -2.3% at $1,000 per call, held to resolution; 108 BUY verdicts are still open and enter the record as they resolve. A HOLD verdict is not a call and is never graded; markets without a verdict are counted, not listed."
}