{
 "week": "2026-W42",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-10-12",
  "end": "2026-10-18"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-10-19T06:00:03.982839+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-10-16"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 133,
 "resolved_this_week": 15,
 "resolved_total": 1383,
 "called_this_week": 11,
 "called_total": 562,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 7,
   "matched": 6,
   "pct": 86,
   "hold": 4,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 7,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -165.31,
    "roi_pct": -2.4
   },
   "by_category": {
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 4,
     "matched": 4
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 0
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 1,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 361,
   "matched": 257,
   "pct": 71,
   "hold": 200,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 361,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 1215.05,
    "roi_pct": 0.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 115,
     "matched": 87
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 109,
     "matched": 82
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 60,
     "matched": 44
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 22,
     "matched": 13
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 16,
     "matched": 8
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 8,
  "no_call": 821,
  "hold_verdicts": 200,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-18",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-18T22:36:32+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 804810.966638,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 95,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-15T23:46:31.355714+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T22:20:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.95
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "katie-zacharia-out-as-press-secretary-by-december-31",
   "title": "Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T22:57:02+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 297244.7652409998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 75,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-14T23:33:46.103173+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "aziz-akhannouch-out-as-morocco-prime-minister-by-december-31-2026",
   "title": "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T20:08:57+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 181248.00064900005,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 89,
    "frozen_at": "2026-04-13T22:10:04.757901+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 123.6
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-16-2026",
   "title": "Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T17:38:17+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 119599.44251599997,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 87,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-13T23:32:13.479285+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 149.43
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-iran-hormuz-agreement-by-october-15",
   "title": "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T08:05:57.886855+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 149841.33459199997,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 92,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-05T23:51:23.709356+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 86.96
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T10:19:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.935
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-15-2026",
   "title": "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T06:01:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 3669357.396265997,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 87,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-01T23:46:35.219080+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 149.43
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 2,
    "wallets": 2,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T10:19:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.945
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-anthropic-ipo-by-october-15-2026-949",
   "title": "Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?",
   "category": "economics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T06:01:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 247418.149012,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-09-05T23:47:36.518110+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 75.27
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-yemen-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15",
   "title": "US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T02:03:58+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1029692.6336539998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 94,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-12T23:15:13.156990+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-12T22:18:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.945
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-15T22:33:10+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 955124.9953139999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 94,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-08T23:33:29.725153+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T22:20:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.92
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-15",
   "title": "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-15T22:32:19+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 2116265.9022079995,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 80,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-02T23:16:28.061076+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 250.0
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-12T10:17:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.065
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-12",
   "title": "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-12T23:21:29+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1988649.8114429999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 94,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-08T23:33:30.027811+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "atp-serna-roncade-2026-10-16",
   "title": "Atp serna roncade",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T23:16:59+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-miguel-dellien-2026-10-16",
   "title": "Atp miguel dellien",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-16T22:58:02+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-pacheco-dellien-2026-10-14",
   "title": "Atp pacheco dellien",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-14T22:44:03+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-casanov-serna-2026-10-13",
   "title": "Atp casanov serna",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-13T23:08:45+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "Week 2026-W42 (2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18). Tracked markets resolved this week: 15, of which 11 had an AI verdict frozen before the close; the rest are not graded. BUY verdicts this week: 6 of 7 hit the outcome; 4 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative: 257 of 361 BUY verdicts hit (71%), ROI +0.3% with $1,000 on each call held to resolution, 200 HOLD not counted, 133 BUY verdicts still open."
}