{
 "week": "2026-W43",
 "period": {
  "start": "2026-10-19",
  "end": "2026-10-25"
 },
 "generated_at": "2026-10-26T07:00:04.451496+00:00",
 "stake": 1000,
 "record_period": {
  "first": "2026-04-15",
  "last": "2026-10-25"
 },
 "open_buy_calls": 164,
 "resolved_this_week": 14,
 "resolved_total": 1397,
 "called_this_week": 10,
 "called_total": 572,
 "this_week": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 7,
   "matched": 6,
   "pct": 86,
   "hold": 3,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 7,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": -17.69,
    "roi_pct": -0.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 3,
     "matched": 3
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 2
    },
    "other": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "cumulative": {
  "verdict": {
   "n": 368,
   "matched": 263,
   "pct": 71,
   "hold": 203,
   "pnl": {
    "calls": 368,
    "stake": 1000,
    "total": 1197.36,
    "roi_pct": 0.3
   },
   "by_category": {
    "other": {
     "n": 117,
     "matched": 88
    },
    "geopolitics": {
     "n": 112,
     "matched": 85
    },
    "politics": {
     "n": 62,
     "matched": 46
    },
    "sports": {
     "n": 37,
     "matched": 22
    },
    "economics": {
     "n": 22,
     "matched": 13
    },
    "crypto": {
     "n": 16,
     "matched": 8
    },
    "science": {
     "n": 2,
     "matched": 1
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "excluded": {
  "invalid_or_unknown_outcome": 8,
  "no_call": 825,
  "hold_verdicts": 203,
  "verdict_after_close": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "slug": "will-conservative-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-british-columbia-general-election",
   "title": "Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-25T07:51:39.878784+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 102445.542518,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 91,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-21T23:38:31.049443+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 98.9
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-a-hormuz-agreement-and-the-republicans-win-the-senate",
   "title": "Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-24T06:06:33.966489+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 895416.6457949999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 5,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-12T23:15:13.074584+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-13T22:19:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.052
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-a-hormuz-agreement-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate",
   "title": "Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-24T06:04:44.172107+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 524977.114283,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 6,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-11T23:20:32.988182+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-14T10:18:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.95
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-there-be-no-hormuz-agreement",
   "title": "Will there be no Hormuz agreement?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-24T06:02:14+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1107913.7744070003,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 88,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-11T23:20:33.469272+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 136.36
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T10:18:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.943
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-and-ukraine-hold-any-diplomatic-meeting-by-november-30-2026",
   "title": "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-23T19:52:24.259306+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 90091.42116499999,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 89,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-22T23:26:04.167843+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 123.6
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-russia-and-ukraine-hold-any-diplomatic-meeting-by-december-31-2026-20260819-697-428",
   "title": "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-23T19:52:24.248306+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 93496.08844100001,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 91,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-21T23:38:31.072727+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 98.9
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-openais-valuation-hit-high-1pt25t-by-december-31-366-424",
   "title": "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?",
   "category": "other",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-23T19:01:59.978727+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 136213.07461399998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "BUY NO",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 62,
    "frozen_at": "2026-07-10T01:53:49.404212+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": false,
    "matched": false,
    "pnl": -1000.0
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-21",
   "title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?",
   "category": "geopolitics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-22T19:44:00.217713+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 1471892.5481079998,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 93,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-15T23:46:31.390152+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 75.27
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "YES",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T22:20:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.925
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "nba-lebron-james-and-bronny-james-jrpt-to-play-together-in-2026-27-20260630182039143",
   "title": "NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?",
   "category": "crypto",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-21T07:51:02.345154+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 0,
   "volume_at_close": 145192.53543899997,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "NO",
    "direction": "HOLD",
    "call": false,
    "entry_c": 94,
    "frozen_at": "2026-08-26T00:12:32.436645+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": null,
    "pnl": null
   },
   "wallet_side": {
    "side": "NO",
    "wallets_on_side": 1,
    "wallets": 1,
    "snapshot_at": "2026-08-28T10:13:00+00:00",
    "entry_price": 0.948
   },
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-luca-niculescu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-romania",
   "title": "Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
   "category": "politics",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-20T22:42:21.655615+00:00",
   "final_price_c": 100,
   "volume_at_close": 520589.54123400006,
   "verdict": {
    "side": "YES",
    "direction": "BUY YES",
    "call": true,
    "entry_c": 69,
    "frozen_at": "2026-10-08T00:02:36.750480+00:00",
    "source": "first_publish",
    "side_hit": true,
    "matched": true,
    "pnl": 449.28
   },
   "wallet_side": null,
   "verdict_after_close": false,
   "called": true
  }
 ],
 "not_called": [
  {
   "slug": "nba-stephen-curry-to-leave-warriors",
   "title": "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-23T15:01:02.166901+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027",
   "title": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?",
   "won": "YES",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-23T11:42:00.119180+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-medjedo-nakashi-2026-10-19",
   "title": "Atp medjedo nakashi",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-20T23:06:39.990309+00:00"
  },
  {
   "slug": "atp-marti-arutiun-2026-10-20",
   "title": "Atp marti arutiun",
   "won": "NO",
   "closed_at": "2026-10-20T22:56:08.114535+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "method": "Every call is an AI verdict frozen before the market closed — at first publication or in the nightly record. BUY YES / BUY NO is graded against the outcome with $1,000 staked and held to resolution; HOLD means the radar looked and did not enter: it is shown, never graded or staked. Markets without a verdict on file are counted, not listed. INVALID resolutions and verdicts recorded after the close are excluded. The tracked wallets' positions are an input to the verdict, not a call; each wallet's own record is on its wallet page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.",
 "narrative": "Week 2026-W43 (2026-10-19 to 2026-10-25). Tracked markets resolved this week: 14, of which 10 had an AI verdict frozen before the close; the rest are not graded. BUY verdicts this week: 6 of 7 hit the outcome; 3 HOLD verdicts are not calls. Cumulative: 263 of 368 BUY verdicts hit (71%), ROI +0.3% with $1,000 on each call held to resolution, 203 HOLD not counted, 164 BUY verdicts still open."
}