Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for ' Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 49% YES on Polymarket with $363K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about ' Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

51c

YES

49c

Prediction markets give a 49% probability to: iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by june 30?.

Currently at 49%

Traded on Polymarket — $363K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 49c YES with $363K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 2 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 49c

Smart money entered YES at 44c–48c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

2 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 44c–48c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xbacd..35	MM	YES	$13.7K	+2%
This Market Entered at 48c → now 49c (+2%), $13.7K on YES Track Record 13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x22db..0f	Retail	YES	$1.2K	+12%
This Market Entered at 44c → now 49c (+12%), $1.2K on YES Track Record 1mo on platform · 1614 trades · 100% win rate · other specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1614 trades).

See all 162 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 44c–48c. At current price 49c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 49c YES — $363K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 49c with $363K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 49c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	49c	$363K
Our Model	49c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 49% YES with $363K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30??

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.