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AI-Powered Prediction Market Intelligence

5 AI models and 166 smart money wallets analyze 165 markets in real time. See what the data says before you trade.

EXPLORE MARKET RADAR → compare platforms

OddsShift is an AI-powered prediction market intelligence platform. We analyze 165 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi using 5 independent AI models and track 166 smart money wallets on-chain. Free: live probabilities and market context. PRO ($29/mo): AI verdicts, wallet positioning, fair value analysis, and entry targets. Last updated:

165
AI-Analyzed Markets
166
Alpha Wallets
5
AI Models
10 min
Update Interval
HOW OUR AI ANALYZES MARKETS 5 models, one verdict

5 models assess fair value. 166 wallets reveal positioning. One verdict.

Will Trump impose new tariffs by June 2026? Politics
Polymarket 72c +3c 24h
14
pts gap
Kalshi 58c -2c 24h
AI Verdict

Polymarket has 3x higher volume on this market. Higher liquidity suggests more efficient price discovery. The 14pt gap has been widening for 48h, suggesting Kalshi is slow to react to recent tariff rhetoric. Historically, Polymarket leads on political event pricing by 12-24 hours.

COST K YES 58c + PM NO 28c = 86c
PAYOUT One side always wins = $1.00
EDGE 14c profit · +16.3% ROI · 61% APY
See all AI verdicts →
WHO PREDICTS BETTER? Polymarket vs Kalshi accuracy

We independently track which platform is more accurate by category. Based on 2,400+ resolved markets. No other tool does this.

Politics Polymarket leads
PM
63%
K
58%
Economics Kalshi leads
PM
64%
K
71%
Crypto Polymarket leads
PM
69%
K
61%
Sports Kalshi leads
PM
57%
K
66%
Bottom line: Neither platform is universally more accurate. Polymarket leads on politics and crypto. Kalshi leads on economics and sports. When they disagree, the platform with higher volume on that specific market is usually closer to the actual outcome.
Full accuracy breakdown by category →
PREDICTION MARKET TOOLS explore the platform

Market Radar

165 markets analyzed by AI models and tracked through on-chain smart money wallets. Your edge in prediction markets.

165 AI-analyzed markets · 166 wallets · 5 models

Platform Comparison

Polymarket vs Kalshi — live odds side-by-side across 7,900+ markets.

Arbitrage Scanner

Cross-platform price gaps detected in real time.

X-Tweet Market

AI-powered tweet count predictions for Elon Musk, Trump, and more.
HOW IT WORKS four steps to edge
01
Prediction markets set the odds
Thousands bet real money on future events. The price = the crowd's probability estimate. We analyze 165 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.
107 markets · 2 platforms · 10 min updates
02
Smart money reveals the edge
We track 166 wallets with 84–96% historical accuracy. When they move, it signals information the crowd doesn't have yet.
166 wallets · 84–96% accuracy · on-chain verified
03
5 AI models assess fair value
Bayesian, PIN, HMM, Gaussian, Ensemble — each estimates what YES is really worth. When 4+ agree, historical accuracy exceeds 80%.
5 models · 80%+ accuracy at 4/5 consensus
04
You trade with intelligence
Free: live odds and market context. PRO ($29/mo): AI verdicts, wallet data, fair value analysis, and entry targets.
Free odds · PRO $29/mo for full intelligence
AI VERDICT TRACK RECORD 9 of 11 verdicts matched outcome · May 2026
Accuracy
82%
9 of 11 matched
Avg return per verdict
+45%
median +9%
Period
May 2026
11 resolved markets
Market
Verdict
Outcome
P&L
Frame
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
YES
✓ won YES
+35%
resolved
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
NO
× won YES
-42%
stop-loss
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
YES
✓ won YES
+6%
resolved
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
YES
× won NO
-40%
stop-loss
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
YES
✓ won YES
+89%
resolved
Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?
NO
✓ won NO
+5%
resolved
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
YES
✓ won YES
+400%
resolved
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
YES
✓ won YES
+10%
resolved
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
YES
✓ won YES
+9%
resolved
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
YES
✓ won YES
+14%
resolved
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
NO
✓ won NO
+8%
resolved
11 verdicts published before resolution · methodology: /accuracy
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is OddsShift?

AI-powered prediction market intelligence platform. We analyze 165 markets using 5 AI models and track 166 smart money wallets on Polymarket. Free: live probabilities. PRO: AI verdicts, wallet data, entry targets.

What is Market Radar?

Our flagship tool. Each of 165 markets gets: live probability, AI fair value estimate, smart money wallet positions, and a trading verdict. Explore Market Radar →

How does smart money tracking work?

We monitor 166 of the most profitable wallets on Polymarket — traders with 84–96% accuracy. Their positions are verified on-chain via Polygon blockchain data.

What AI models do you use?

5 independent models: Bayesian Inference, PIN (Probability of Informed Trading), Hidden Markov, Gaussian Mixture, and Ensemble. When 4+ agree, historical accuracy exceeds 80%.

Is OddsShift free?

Live probabilities and market context are free. PRO ($29/mo) includes AI verdicts, smart money data, fair value analysis, and entry targets. See pricing →

How is OddsShift different from Polymarket?

Polymarket is a trading platform. OddsShift is an analytics layer — we track what smart money does on Polymarket and run AI models to find mispriced markets.