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AI-Powered Prediction Market Intelligence

5 AI models and 162 smart money wallets analyze 107 markets in real time. See what the data says before you trade.

EXPLORE MARKET RADAR → compare platforms

OddsShift is an AI-powered prediction market intelligence platform. We analyze 107 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi using 5 independent AI models and track 162 smart money wallets on-chain. Free: live probabilities and market context. PRO ($29/mo): AI verdicts, wallet positioning, fair value analysis, and entry targets. Last updated:

107
AI-Analyzed Markets
162
Alpha Wallets
5
AI Models
10 min
Update Interval
HOW OUR AI ANALYZES MARKETS 5 models, one verdict

5 models assess fair value. 162 wallets reveal positioning. One verdict.

Will Trump impose new tariffs by June 2026? Politics
Polymarket 72c +3c 24h
14
pts gap
Kalshi 58c -2c 24h
AI Verdict

Polymarket has 3x higher volume on this market. Higher liquidity suggests more efficient price discovery. The 14pt gap has been widening for 48h, suggesting Kalshi is slow to react to recent tariff rhetoric. Historically, Polymarket leads on political event pricing by 12-24 hours.

COST K YES 58c + PM NO 28c = 86c
PAYOUT One side always wins = $1.00
EDGE 14c profit · +16.3% ROI · 61% APY
See all AI verdicts →
WHO PREDICTS BETTER? Polymarket vs Kalshi accuracy

We independently track which platform is more accurate by category. Based on 2,400+ resolved markets. No other tool does this.

Politics Polymarket leads
PM
63%
K
58%
Economics Kalshi leads
PM
64%
K
71%
Crypto Polymarket leads
PM
69%
K
61%
Sports Kalshi leads
PM
57%
K
66%
Bottom line: Neither platform is universally more accurate. Polymarket leads on politics and crypto. Kalshi leads on economics and sports. When they disagree, the platform with higher volume on that specific market is usually closer to the actual outcome.
Full accuracy breakdown by category →
PREDICTION MARKET TOOLS explore the platform

Market Radar

107 markets analyzed by AI models and tracked through on-chain smart money wallets. Your edge in prediction markets.

107 AI-analyzed markets · 162 wallets · 5 models

Platform Comparison

Polymarket vs Kalshi — live odds side-by-side across 7,900+ markets.

Arbitrage Scanner

Cross-platform price gaps detected in real time.

X-Tweet Market

AI-powered tweet count predictions for Elon Musk, Trump, and more.
HOW IT WORKS four steps to edge
01
Prediction markets set the odds
Thousands bet real money on future events. The price = the crowd's probability estimate. We track 107 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.
107 markets · 2 platforms · 10 min updates
02
Smart money reveals the edge
We track 162 wallets with 84–96% historical accuracy. When they move, it signals information the crowd doesn't have yet.
162 wallets · 84–96% accuracy · on-chain verified
03
5 AI models assess fair value
Bayesian, PIN, HMM, Gaussian, Ensemble — each estimates what YES is really worth. When 4+ agree, historical accuracy exceeds 80%.
5 models · 80%+ accuracy at 4/5 consensus
04
You trade with intelligence
Free: live odds and market context. PRO ($29/mo): AI verdicts, wallet data, fair value analysis, and entry targets.
Free odds · PRO $29/mo for full intelligence
REAL MONEY TRACK RECORD every position backed by real capital
Total P&L
+$341.95
Win Rate
67%
Total Trades
215
Market
Side
Entry
P&L
Musk tweets 80–99 (Mar 17–24)
YES
28¢
+$14.40
Trump tweets 40–59 (Mar 10–17)
NO
62¢
+$7.60
Tate tweets 20–39 (Mar 10–17)
YES
45¢
-$9.00
CZ tweets 10–19 (Mar 3–10)
YES
31¢
+$13.80
Zelenskyy tweets 5–9 (Mar 3–10)
YES
52¢
+$4.80
215 trades · 67% win rate · real capital · tracking since mar 2026
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is OddsShift?

AI-powered prediction market intelligence platform. We analyze 107 markets using 5 AI models and track 162 smart money wallets on Polymarket. Free: live probabilities. PRO: AI verdicts, wallet data, entry targets.

What is Market Radar?

Our flagship tool. Each of 107 markets gets: live probability, AI fair value estimate, smart money wallet positions, and a trading verdict. Explore Market Radar →

How does smart money tracking work?

We monitor 162 of the most profitable wallets on Polymarket — traders with 84–96% accuracy. Their positions are verified on-chain via Polygon blockchain data.

What AI models do you use?

5 independent models: Bayesian Inference, PIN (Probability of Informed Trading), Hidden Markov, Gaussian Mixture, and Ensemble. When 4+ agree, historical accuracy exceeds 80%.

Is OddsShift free?

Live probabilities and market context are free. PRO ($29/mo) includes AI verdicts, smart money data, fair value analysis, and entry targets. See pricing →

How is OddsShift different from Polymarket?

Polymarket is a trading platform. OddsShift is an analytics layer — we track what smart money does on Polymarket and run AI models to find mispriced markets.