Real-Time Alerts on Smart Money Trades — $29/month BETA

All radar content is free — 175 markets with AI verdicts, 166 smart money wallets with positions and P&L, 5 AI models per market, cross-platform Polymarket vs Kalshi gaps, news context. Premium ($29/mo) adds the notification layer: Telegram alerts under 10 seconds from on-chain wallet trades, daily smart-money digest, per-wallet follow notifications, portfolio beacons, and watchlist with paper P&L. Cancel anytime — no contracts, no lock-in.

Cancel anytime · Secure checkout via Stripe · No contracts

Early access launched April 2026 · Join subscribers evaluating the full stack.

How it works

Four layers, one subscription

Every signal, every wallet, every alert — wired into a single dashboard.

Radar

175 alpha markets analyzed by 8 AI + math models. Free for everyone.

Copy-trading

69 verified wallets, each with a profile page and follow button.

Alerts

Telegram + email, under 10 seconds from on-chain trade to your phone.

Dashboard

Watchlist, paper P&L, notification preferences in one place.

What's in Premium

Intelligence layer is free on every alpha radar page. Premium adds the notification + dashboard layers.

Intelligence layer (Free)

Market Radar

175 high-volume Polymarket markets analyzed daily.

AI Verdicts

Directional call with WEAK/MODERATE/STRONG tier + edge pts + target.

8 Models Per Market

Bayesian, PIN, Compound Signal + Claude, DeepSeek, Grok, Gemini, Kimi.

Wallet Trade Timeline

Chronological log of every smart-money trade on each market.

Copy trading layer

Copy Trading Hub

Browse 69 verified alpha + tier-1 wallets with P&L and tier badges.

Per-Wallet Pages

Every tracked wallet has its own page with full history and positions.

Follow & Mute

One click to follow; per-wallet mute for 1h / 24h / 7d.

Real-time alerts

Wallet Trade Alerts

Under 10 seconds from on-chain trade to your Telegram.

Market Alerts

Paradigm flips, verdict changes, resolution outcomes.

Daily Digests

Once-a-day summaries of your watchlist and followed wallets.

Personal dashboard

Watchlist + Paper P&L

Followed markets with delta tracking and $1,000 paper per entry.

Notification Settings

Per-channel toggles, rate limits, Telegram bot linking.

SEE WHAT YOU GET

real examples from Market Radar

Geopolitics Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

ULTRA OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 69c

Fair value 90c vs market 69c — 21-point gap. 7/8 models confirm. 3 tier-1 wallets positioned NO at 62c–87c.

+23% TARGET YIELD

41c

85c

98c

69c

90c

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

7 of 8 Models Agree: NO

Model	Says	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
MATHBayesian Update	NO	91c	—
MATHPIN Model	NO	90c	—
MATHCompound Signal	NO	92c	—
AIClaude	NO	90c	90%
AIDeepSeek	NO	88c	85%
AIGrok	NO	95c	80%
AIGemini	NO	89c	78%
AIKimi	???	35c	55%

7 of 8 models estimate NO fair value at 88–95c vs market 69c. Claude leads with 90% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 91c — market prices it at 69c. 22-point gap supports BUY NO.

Why One Model Disagrees: Kimi dissents at 35c YES — weights geopolitical volatility and fat-tail scenarios that base-rate models underweight.

3 of 4 Wallets Positioned NO

We tracked 4 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. Three are market makers positioned NO with a combined $372K. One smart wallet holds YES at $1.9K with a -65% loss. The NO side dominates by capital and conviction.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xb8e6..67	Smart	YES	$1.9K	-65%
0xbacd..35 ★	Smart	NO	$301.1K	+15%
This Market Entered at 77c → now 88c (+15%), $301.1K on NO Activity · 4 events · Apr 05 → Apr 21 Date Position Amount Total Apr 05 BUYNO72 +$85,000 $85,000 Apr 10 BUYNO76 +$96,000 $181,000 Apr 15 BUYNO79 +$78,000 $259,000 Apr 21 BUYNO82 +$42,100 $301,100 Realized — Unrealized +$45,165 Total Profit +$45,165 Wallet Type Tier-1 smart wallet — 84% historical accuracy across 291 resolved markets. $301K NO position built over 4 events (72c–82c) shows high conviction against regime collapse.
0x6bab..92	MM	NO	$37.3K	+25%
0x24c8..e1	MM	NO	$33.6K	+21%

Every wallet has a story

Browse 69 verified alpha + tier-1 wallets with P&L, tier badges, and one-click follow. From /copy-trading/.

0x5bf…ffbe Joined 2025-07-29 14 trades · +$3.8K net

★ Tier 1

Unrealized +$21.3K

Total P&L +$65.1K

6 markets

0x44c…ebc1 Joined 2025-11-28 21 trades · +$1.2K net

Alpha

Unrealized +$14.8K

Total P&L +$42.6K

9 markets

0x24c…23e1 Joined 2025-09-12 8 trades · +$2.4K net

★ Tier 1

Unrealized +$9.2K

Total P&L +$28.4K

4 markets

0x12d…f2a8 Joined 2025-05-03 5 trades · −$320 net

Alpha

Unrealized −$2.1K

Total P&L +$15.9K

11 markets

Click any wallet above and you land on its full page. Here's 0x44c…ebc1 — a live Alpha wallet from the list, rendered inline.

Polymarket Wallet

0x44c…ebc1

Alpha 🔒 Full address — PRO

Active in 6 markets · 13 total traded · Joined 2025-11-28

Realized P&L

+$7,258

Unrealized P&L

+$34,745

Total

+$42,003

Markets

Active Positions (13 — showing 3)

Entry Date Market Side Shares Entry Avg Current Unrealized P&L

Apr 05 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO 166,376 58c 68c +$15,526

Jan 18 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? NO 171,821 79c 93c +$24,828

Dec 02 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? NO 19,148 44c 52c +$1,653

Activity Timeline — Last 30 Days

Date Market Action Side Price Shares Total

Apr 21 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY NO 70c 15,902 $11,131

Apr 17 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? BUY YES 49c 5,398 $2,621

Apr 11 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY NO 72c 68,021 $48,852

Apr 02 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? SELL NO 51c 914 $466

Every wallet gets this view — realtime P&L, active positions, full timeline, one-click follow. 69 wallets today, more every week.

X-Tweet Market — Elon Musk

⪻ MARKET BRACKETS price ranges

10 ranges

<40$135K13%▴6%↓ −5¢in ~6hYes 13¢No 87¢

40-64$41K72%◎ target↓ −25¢in ~6hYes 72¢No 28¢

65-89$49K16%▾6%↓ −6¢in ~6hYes 16¢No 84¢

90-114$50K2%▾3%Yes 1.8¢No 98¢

115-139$44K0%Yes 0.40¢No 100¢

140-164$33K50%↓ −18¢in ~6hYes 50¢No 50¢

165-189$32K28%↓ −10¢in ~6hYes 28¢No 73¢

190-214$75K50%↓ −18¢in ~6hYes 50¢No 50¢

215-239$33K2%Yes 2.0¢No 98¢

240+$35K1%Yes 1.0¢No 99¢

⪻ Tweet Activity Heatmap actual and expected per hour

Apr 20 – 26

UTC+1

Mon20

Tue21

Wed22

Thu23

Fri24

Sat25

Sun26

00:00

0/0

0/1

2/1

0/2

0/1

0/2

0.4

01:00

6/1

2/1

1/0

4/3

0/1

0/3

2.6

02:00

0/2

3/1

0/1

0/2

0/0

0/3

0.6

03:00

0/1

1/0

0/0

0/2

5/1

0/1

1.2

04:00

0/1

0/0

0/1

0/2

0/1

05:00

0/2

0/1

5/1

0/1

0/2

0/1

06:00

1/4

2/4

0/2

1/2

0/4

0/5

0.8

07:00

3/3

0/5

16/4

3/2

1/4

0/4

4.6

08:00

6/3

0/2

14/2

0/7

4/2

0/2

0/3

4.8

09:00

0/2

0/1

0/2

3/5

0/6

0/2

0/3

0.6

10:00

0/2

0/0

0/2

5/3

0/1

0/0

0/1

11:00

0/1

0/0

0/1

0/2

12:00

0/1

0/2

0/1

18:11

0/2

0/3

0/2

0/0

0/2

0/3

0/1

14:00

5/1

0/6

0/4

0/1

0/3

0/2

15:00

4/4

5/3

0/4

0/3

0/2

1.8

16:00

0/3

3/3

3/4

0/4

End1

0/1

1.2

17:00

0/3

5/3

0/2

0/4

0/0

0/3

18:00

0/2

0/3

3/3

0/3

0/4

0/2

0/1

0.6

19:00

0/2

0/5

0/2

0/3

0/2

0/1

20:00

3/2

0/3

0/4

0/2

0.6

21:00

5/2

0/2

1/2

0/2

0/3

0/2

1.2

22:00

0/1

0/2

0/0

1/2

0/2

0/1

0.2

23:00

0/1

1/1

0/2

1/1

0/2

0/0

0/2

0.4

Low

High Prediction:

Current time 3/5 = actual / forecast sleep hours Outside

Free vs Premium

Free

Premium ($29/mo)

Market Radar (175 alpha pages)

Full content + AI verdict + smart money positions

Same content + verdict-change alerts

AI Verdicts (BUY/HOLD/SELL)

Full verdicts on 175 alpha markets

Same + alerts when verdict flips

8 Models per market (5 AI + 3 math)

All models with fair value estimates

Same

Smart money wallets (162 alpha · 31 tier-1)

Positions, P&L, win rates on radar pages

Same + real-time alerts when wallets trade

Cross-platform comparison (Polymarket vs Kalshi)

Top markets visible

All 7,900+ markets

Arbitrage gaps

Top 5 visible

All 63+ gaps + real-time alerts

Wallet follow notifications

—

Per-wallet alerts + mute control

Real-time Telegram alerts

—

< 10s latency from on-chain trade

Daily digest (email + Telegram)

—

Configurable time, your timezone

Watchlist + paper P&L

—

$1,000 paper position per entry

Notification controls

—

Per-channel toggle, mute, rate limits

Is $29/month Worth It?

One arbitrage trade typically returns 5–15% ROI.

A single $100 position on a 14-point gap = $14 profit.

OddsShift pays for itself on trade #2.

Our tracked trades: +$341.95 P&L, 67% win rate on $997 capital.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much does OddsShift cost?

Subscription is $29 per month. Market Radar content — AI verdicts, smart money positions, 5 AI models, cross-platform gaps, news context — is free on 175 alpha markets. Premium adds the notification layer: Telegram alerts under 10 seconds from on-chain trades, daily digest, wallet follow notifications, portfolio beacons, watchlist with paper P&L. Cancel anytime, no contracts.

What do I get with Premium?

Real-time Telegram alerts when tracked smart-money wallets enter or exit positions (<10s from on-chain trade). Daily digest summarising your watchlist and followed wallets. Per-wallet follow with mute control. Portfolio beacons — custom alert filters. Watchlist with $1,000 paper P&L per entry. Per-channel notification controls and rate limits. Premium is a notification layer — the underlying analysis (verdicts, models, wallet positions) is already free for all visitors.

What is Market Radar?

Market Radar is OddsShift's analysis layer — 175 high-volume Polymarket markets with full AI analysis, free for everyone. Each market page includes smart money wallet positions, predictions from 5 AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Grok, Gemini, Kimi) plus 3 math models, an AI verdict with BUY/HOLD/SELL recommendation, cross-platform gaps with Kalshi, and curated news context. No paywall on radar content.

How does smart money tracking work?

OddsShift tracks 162 alpha wallets (31 tier-1 with 80%+ historical accuracy) identified through on-chain analysis. These wallets have 84–96% historical accuracy across hundreds of resolved markets. Their positions, entry prices, sizes, and P&L are visible to every visitor on every alpha radar page. Premium subscribers get real-time Telegram alerts whenever these wallets trade.

Can I try OddsShift before subscribing?

All radar content is already free — no signup, no paywall on AI verdicts, smart money positions, models, news, or cross-platform comparisons. Subscribe when you want the notification layer: real-time alerts, daily digest, wallet follow, paper P&L. Cancel anytime.

How is OddsShift different from other prediction market tools?

170+ prediction market tools show prices. OddsShift combines 5 AI models with 166 on-chain wallet signals to produce AI verdicts that explain WHY markets move and whether to buy or sell — and that analysis is free, not behind a paywall. No other tool offers both smart money tracking and multi-model AI analysis as open content. Premium adds the alert layer on top, so you don't have to refresh manually to catch wallet moves.

Can I cancel my OddsShift subscription anytime?

Yes. No contracts, no lock-in. Cancel from your account page at any time and keep access through the end of your billing period.

What payment methods does OddsShift accept?

OddsShift accepts all major credit and debit cards via Stripe. Secure checkout with SSL encryption.

How do Telegram alerts work?

Connect your Telegram account via the deep-link flow in /account/notifications — takes about 10 seconds. Once linked, wallet trades, paradigm shifts, verdict changes, and resolution outcomes reach your phone in under 10 seconds after the on-chain event. Rate-limited to 6 messages per 5 minutes to avoid spam, with per-wallet mute and global pause available.

Do I need my own Polymarket account?

No — OddsShift is a signal and analysis layer, not a brokerage. We do not execute trades. Alpha wallet activity and AI verdicts give you the timing and direction; you place actual trades on Polymarket (or Kalshi, Limitless) at your discretion. No account linking, no permission grants, no execution risk on our side.

Can I pause alerts for a noisy wallet?

Yes. On any followed wallet's page or in /account/notifications, use the mute control: 1 hour, 24 hours, or 7 days without unfollowing. Alerts resume automatically when the mute expires. You can also globally pause all alerts — the watchlist and dashboard stay live, only delivery pauses.

What is paper tracking?

When you follow a market and track an entry, we log a paper position of $1,000 at the current price. The dashboard updates P&L live as the market moves and settles at final value when the market resolves. It is a personal tracking tool, not a trading simulator — use it to measure your own timing against smart money calls without committing real capital.

Secure checkout via Stripe · Cancel anytime · No contracts

175 alpha radar markets · 162 smart money wallets · 5 AI models — all free

Questions? @OddsShiftHQ on X

Explore Market Radar → Smart Money Tracker → Copy Trading Intelligence → Compare Platforms → Arbitrage Scanner →