Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Aug 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $625.6K

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Q: How did 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Aug 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · AUG 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 2 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Aug 01, 2026Final volume $625.6KTracked since Jun 26

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Aug 01, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket pricing drifted lower from 7c at the start of OddsShift tracking (Jun 26) to 6c on the last snapshot before resolution. Final lifetime volume reached $625.6K across 2 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

All 2 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. All redeemed at $1.00.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x7c3d..6b	MM	NO	$3.1K	+21%
This Market Entered at 78c → now 50c (+21%), $3.1K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 15 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 15BUYNO78+$2,595$2,595 Realized— Unrealized+$555 Total Profit+$555
0x162f..8d	MM	NO	$1.7K	0%
This Market Entered at 95c → now 50c (0%), $1.7K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 25 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 25BUYNO95+$1,698$1,698 Realized— Unrealized−$9 Total Profit−$9

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