Economics
Resolves: Jan 2027 54 days left Volume: $57K

Remote IPO before 2027?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of November 7, 2026, Polymarket prices “Remote IPO before 2027?” at 6% YES with $57K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Remote IPO before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 20% to 6% since 2026-06-26 (-14pp)

What’s Happening

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the company will not pursue an initial public offering until 2027, citing AI safety concerns as the primary factor in the timeline, according to Bloomberg on Sep 12, 2026. The disclosure removes the most anticipated candidate from the 2026 listing calendar and pushes any offering into a window that extends beyond the resolution date of this contract. The remarks followed a year in which SpaceX completed the largest IPO debut on record on June 12, 2026, at a valuation just under $2 trillion and an offering price of $135 per share, a benchmark against which later entrants will be measured. [Bloomberg, Sep 12]

The 2026 pipeline has otherwise firmed. Pershing Square completed its public debut in April 2026 after several years of effort by Bill Ackman, and Forbes Advisor lists Uber Technologies among the most anticipated offerings still to come in the 2026–2027 window. Pre-IPO access is also broadening: Green Coffee Company is inviting retail investors to hold equity ahead of a planned 2027 IPO, targeting $250 million in annual revenue by 2030. A remote IPO, meaning a listing conducted largely through virtual roadshows and electronic bookbuilding, remains a structure without a confirmed issuer in this cycle. [Forbes, Jun 12]

Adjacent listing speculation is running ahead of confirmed filings. Bettors on Manifold put 38% odds on a Polymarket IPO before 2028 as of Aug 30, 2026, while separate contracts assign 65% odds to Leopold's "drop-in remote AI workers" by 2027. The reference to remote work in that contract reflects how the term is being used across markets, distinct from a remote IPO itself. With OpenAI now guided to 2027 and no issuer having announced a fully virtual listing process, the calendar through year-end 2026 carries no confirmed remote IPO candidate. [Tech-insider, Aug 30]

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No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Remote IPO before 2027?

As of November 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $57K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Remote IPO before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.