Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Valve “Game Consoles” shipments and SteamOS update point to Steam Machine launch prep.
Up from 14% to 24% since 2026-04-06 (+10pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $71K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($71K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 24c YES.