Prediction markets put the probability at 13%: StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (13% YES). Exclusive | The Little-Known Hedge Fund That Stands to Make Over $10 Billion on SpaceX - WSJ.
Up from 8% to 14% since 2026-04-06 (+6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $388K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $388K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.