Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
NO
95c
YES
5c
Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). Republicans’ Chances of Losing Alaska Governor and Senate Races—Polls.
Down from 10% to 5% since 2026-04-06 (-5pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $118K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 5c YES with $118K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.