Economics
Resolves: Jun 2026 36 days left Volume: $502K

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

NO
86c
YES
14c

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES). Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) - Latest News and Updates - WSJ.com.

Up from 8% to 14% since 2026-04-06 (+6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $502K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $502K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $502K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.