Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
NO
86c
YES
14c
Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES). Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) - Latest News and Updates - WSJ.com.
Up from 8% to 14% since 2026-04-06 (+6pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $502K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $502K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.