Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $965.8K

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Q: How did 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Apr 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · APR 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 2 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 01, 2026Final volume $965.8KTracked since Mar 27

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Apr 01, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 6c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $965.8K across 1 tracked wallet above the $1K threshold.

1 of 1 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. All redeemed at $1.00.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L	Result
0x054B..77	Smart	NO	$2.1K	+189%
This Market Entered at 32c → now 50c (+189%), $2.1K on NO

Back to Market Radar