Prediction markets give a 5% probability to: xi jinping out before 2027?.
One of the highest-volume markets on Polymarket with $12.6M traded. Deep liquidity means tight spreads — you can enter and exit large positions without significant slippage. Currently priced at 5c YES.
What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.
Unlock PRO — $29/moSmart money entered NO at 77c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.
We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a geopolitics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned NO — unanimous.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5bff..be ★ | Smart | NO | $84.2K | +24% |
NO wallets entered at 77c. At current price 5c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $12.6M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 5c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
| Platform | YES Price | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5c | $12.6M |
| Our Model | 5c | — |