Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $3.4M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 4 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

As of October 7, 2026, Polymarket prices “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?” at 6% YES with $3.4M traded. 4 tracked wallets hold a position here, 1 of them tier-1; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: zelenskyy out as ukraine president by end of 2026?.

Down from 10% to 6% since 2026-07-08 (-4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $3.4M Volume

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Smart-money wallets: 4 tracked wallets positioned NO. Backed by $3.4M in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

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HOLD · NO ENTRY AI VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 68c–94c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 of 4 Wallets Is a Politics Specialist

We tracked 4 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a politics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned NO — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xc021..a8 ★	Smart	NO	$4.4K	+31%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 72c → now 94c (+31%), $4.4K on NO Activity · 3 events · Nov 21 → Mar 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Nov 21BUYNO57+$13$13 Mar 04BUYNO71+$2,774$2,790 Mar 07BUYNO75+$543$3,490 Realized— Unrealized+$1,068 Total Profit+$1,068 Wallet Type High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 1126 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.
0xcaab..dd	Retail	NO	$5.9K	+0%
This Market Entered at 94c → now 94c (+0%), $5.9K on NO Activity · 5 events · Aug 13 → Oct 06 DatePositionAmountTotal Aug 13BUYNO93+$512$512 Aug 22BUYNO93+$930$1,442 Sep 17BUYNO94+$940$2,398 Sep 20BUYNO94+$2,820$5,218 Oct 06BUYNO96+$672$6,001 Realized— Unrealized+$33 Total Profit+$33 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1652 trades).
0x253d..07	MM	NO	$1.9K	+39%
This Market Entered at 68c → now 94c (+39%), $1.9K on NO Activity · 1 event · Nov 16 DatePositionAmountTotal Nov 16BUYNO68+$1,360$1,360 Realized— Unrealized+$530 Total Profit+$530 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1322) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b	MM	NO	$1.9K	+0%
This Market Entered at 94c → now 94c (+0%), $1.9K on NO Activity · 1 event · Aug 18 DatePositionAmountTotal Aug 18BUYNO94+$1,880$1,880 Realized— Unrealized+$10 Total Profit+$10 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1330) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 68c–94c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $3.4M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $3.4M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$3.4M
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $3.4M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

OddsShift tracks 4 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.