How did 'Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Jul 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned YES but the market resolved NO. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: Jul 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $454.5K

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Resolved · JUL 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. AI consensus leaned YES (4 of 6 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

NO WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved NO at $1.00.

DIRECTION WRONG

86c

100c

Stop Loss Target Final

5 of 6 Models Agreed: NO — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	98c	96%
Compound Signal	NO	31c	38%
DeepSeek Quant	NO	6c	75%
Grok Contrarian	NO	8c	75%
Gemini Flash	NO	15c	65%
Kimi Macro	NO	6c	90%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 27c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 0c YES / $1.00 NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 41c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x4e25..a7	MM	YES	$5.6K	-84%
This Market Entered at 41c → now 50c (-84%), $5.6K on YES Track Record 1mo on platform · 1684 trades · geopolitics specialist Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1684) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

0% Capital on Winning Side

Tracked alpha wallets held NO at the last snapshot. NO redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: -$5,551 on $5.6K capital deployed (avg -100.0%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

NO positions

0% in profit

YES positions

100% lost

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	6c	$454.5K	0c
AI Consensus	27c	—	✓ matched

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