How did 'Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on Apr 16, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 16, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $4.4M

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Resolved · APR 16

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. 8 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

YES won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 16, 2026Final volume $4.4M

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

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What Happened

The market resolved YES at $1.00 on Apr 16, 2026. YES holders redeemed in full, NO holders went to zero.

Final lifetime volume reached $4.4M across 8 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

7 of 8 Tracked Wallets Held YES — Correct Side

We tracked 8 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 7 held YES (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 1 held NO and lost their stake when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xde7b..4b	MM	YES	$51.2K	+51%
This Market Entered at 38c → now 50c (+51%), $51.2K on YES
0xc658..84	MM	YES	$34.9K	-19%
This Market Entered at 71c → now 50c (-19%), $34.9K on YES
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$15.6K	+1%
This Market Entered at 57c → now 50c (+1%), $15.6K on YES
0xbacd..35	MM	YES	$10.6K	-19%
This Market Entered at 71c → now 50c (-19%), $10.6K on YES
0x24c8..e1	MM	NO	$4.2K	+31%
This Market Entered at 32c → now 50c (+31%), $4.2K on NO
0xfd2b..50	MM	YES	$2.6K	-23%
This Market Entered at 75c → now 50c (-23%), $2.6K on YES
0x6bab..92	MM	YES	$2.0K	+28%
This Market Entered at 45c → now 50c (+28%), $2.0K on YES
0x6ffb..34	MM	YES	$1.5K	+30%
This Market Entered at 44c → now 50c (+30%), $1.5K on YES

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