Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Oct 01, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $3.0M

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

Q: How did 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Oct 01, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Resolved · OCT 01

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 2 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Oct 01, 2026Final volume $3.0MTracked since Aug 06

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Oct 01, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 5c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $3.0M across 2 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

All 2 Tracked Wallets Held NO — Correct Side

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. All redeemed at $1.00.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5cd5..33 ★	Retail	NO	$3.7K	+2%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 50c (+2%), $3.7K on NO Activity · 1 event · Aug 02 DatePositionAmountTotal Aug 02BUYNO93+$3,627$3,627 Realized— Unrealized+$62 Total Profit+$62
0xcaab..dd	MM	NO	$2.0K	+2%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 50c (+2%), $2.0K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jul 31 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 31BUYNO93+$2,010$2,010 Realized— Unrealized+$35 Total Profit+$35

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