Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 63% YES on Polymarket with $1.5M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 7 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

63c

37c

Prediction markets give a 63% probability to: will mojtaba khamenei be head of state in iran end of 2026?.

Currently at 63%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.5M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.5M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 63c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

Smart money signal: 7 tracked wallets positioned YES with 18.2x conviction. Backed by $1.5M in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 63c

Smart money entered YES at 35c–44c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

5 Market Makers Providing Liquidity

We tracked 7 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 5 market makers are providing $86K in liquidity, primarily on NO. YES wallets entered between 35c–44c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x12d6..a8	MM	YES	$75.1K	+42%
This Market Entered at 44c → now 63c (+42%), $75.1K on YES Track Record 1mo on platform · 1330 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1330) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xfcf2..69	Retail	YES	$18.0K	+80%
This Market Entered at 35c → now 63c (+80%), $18.0K on YES Track Record 21d on platform · 1974 trades · 100% win rate · politics specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1974 trades).
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$5.6K	+82%
This Market Entered at 35c → now 63c (+82%), $5.6K on YES Track Record 24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xdd22..f1	MM	NO	$2.0K	-24%
This Market Entered at 48c → now 37c (-24%), $2.0K on NO Track Record 4mo on platform · 1240 trades · other specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1240) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x44c1..c1	MM	NO	$1.7K	-27%
This Market Entered at 50c → now 37c (-27%), $1.7K on NO Track Record 3mo on platform · 1694 trades · other specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1694) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x24c8..e1	Retail	YES	$1.6K	+70%
This Market Entered at 37c → now 63c (+70%), $1.6K on YES Track Record 1mo on platform AI Insight Retail wallet — smaller position, limited trading history.
0xc1b3..1c	MM	NO	$1.4K	-44%
This Market Entered at 65c → now 37c (-44%), $1.4K on NO Track Record 3mo on platform · 1170 trades · politics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1170) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 162 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 35c–44c, NO wallets at 48c–65c. At current price 63c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 63c YES — $1.5M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 63c with $1.5M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 63c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	63c	$1.5M
Our Model	63c	—

Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 63% YES with $1.5M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026??

OddsShift tracks 7 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.