6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value below market (18–98c vs 76c). DeepSeek Quant leads with 72% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 68c — market prices it at 76c. 8-point gap supports YES.
1 of 1 Wallets Is a Crypto Specialist
Smart money established conviction NO at 60c, a level that has since collapsed to an implied 76c on the NO side, validating the entry thesis that Puffpaw would fail to clear the $200M FDV bar one day post-launch. The absence of any tracked YES exposure combined with a profitable, untouched NO position signals directional confidence that the launch underperforms the threshold.
The single tracked wallet sits 100% in profit on the NO side after entering at 60c against a current YES price of 24c, locking in a 36-point gain. With YES holders absent and NO already deep in the money, there is no profit-taking pressure on the downside and minimal incentive for the smart-money holder to flip — price support skews toward continued NO dominance.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 24c YES — $576K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 24c with $576K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 32c. 8-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.
What are the current odds for Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $576K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 32c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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