Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 46% YES on Polymarket with $1.9M in total trading volume.

54c

YES

46c

Prediction markets put the probability at 43%: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (43% YES, 57% NO).

Up from 44% to 46% since 2026-05-14 (+2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $1.9M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.9M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 46c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 46% YES with $1.9M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.