Geopolitics
Resolves: May 2026 46 days left Volume: $2.5M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

NO
78c
YES
22c

Prediction markets give a 22% probability to: us obtains iranian enriched uranium by may 31?.

Currently at 22%

Traded on Polymarket — $2.5M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $2.5M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 22c YES.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC
Smart money signal: 3 tracked wallets positioned NO. Backed by $2.5M in trading volume.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

STRONG OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 79c

Smart money entered NO at 77c–84c.

+21% TARGET YIELD
47c
95c
100c
79c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

3 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 77c–84c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xd48a..90 RetailNO$13.1K-6%
0x5cd5..33MMNO$1.8K-6%
0x0845..6fMMNO$1.6K+2%
See all 162 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

33% of NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 77c–84c. At current price 22c, 33% of NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. NO side has the profitability advantage.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
33% in profit

Polymarket: 22c YES — $2.5M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 22c with $2.5M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 22c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket22c$2.5M
Our Model22c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 22% YES with $2.5M in total volume.
Where can I bet on US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31??
OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.