US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 60% YES on Polymarket with $102K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

60c

40c

Prediction markets give a 60% probability to: us x iran permanent peace deal by june 30, 2026?.

Currently at 60%

Traded on Polymarket — $102K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 60c YES with $102K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 59c

Smart money entered YES at 61c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 61c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xd48a..90 ★	MM	YES	$4.9K	-2%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 61c → now 60c (-2%), $4.9K on YES Track Record 5d on platform · 274 trades · other specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (274) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 61c. At current price 60c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 60c YES — $102K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 60c with $102K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 60c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	60c	$102K
Our Model	60c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 60% YES with $102K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.