Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets put the probability at 20%: Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (20% YES). Sean O'Malley's American Story | UFC Freedom 250.

What’s Happening

Canadian bantamweight contender Aiemann Zahabi is set to face former champion Sean O'Malley in the main event of UFC Freedom 250 on June 14, 2026 in Washington D.C., a bout that will significantly reshape the division's title picture heading into the second half of the year. Zahabi enters the contest as the betting underdog against the higher-profile O'Malley, who is seeking to rebuild his standing after losing the bantamweight crown. The card, presented by Crypto.com and RAM, also features an Interim Heavyweight Title fight between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane as the co-main event. [UFC.com, Jun 4]

The path to becoming the aiemann zahabi ufc bantamweight champion on december 31, 2026 requires multiple sequential victories within roughly six months, a compressed timeline that historically constrains championship turnover in the 135-pound division. Even with a victory over O'Malley at UFC Freedom 250, Zahabi would not automatically receive a title shot, and UFC matchmakers typically schedule championship bouts 8-12 weeks in advance, leaving only one realistic title window before year-end. The current champion would need to be available, healthy, and willing to face Zahabi specifically, while the Canadian would need to avoid the injuries and post-fight medical suspensions that routinely sideline winners. [ESPN MMA, Jun 4]

Whether aiemann zahabi ufc bantamweight champion on december 31, 2026 becomes reality hinges first on the June 14 result, with O'Malley's promotional standing, striking pedigree, and ranked status making him the most credible gatekeeper Zahabi has faced. A decisive finish would elevate Zahabi into immediate title contention, while a competitive decision win would likely require one additional bout before championship consideration. The bantamweight division has seen four different champions in recent years, suggesting both volatility favorable to new contenders and the difficulty of holding the belt long enough to defend it. UFC Freedom 250 Countdown coverage has framed the matchup as a generational test for the 34-year-old Canadian. [The Athletic, Jun 7]

Traded on Polymarket — $62K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($62K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.