As of September 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?” at 5% YES with $105K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES).
The probability that Lee “Faker” Sang-hyeok captures a Finals MVP award at an international event in 2026 stands at just 9%, reflecting a competitive landscape that has shifted dramatically around the 29-year-old mid laner. Faker’s last international Finals MVP came at the 2025 League of Legends World Championship, where he earned the series MVP award in T1’s 3-0 sweep over Top Esports — his eighth career Worlds final appearance [Esports Charts, Mon Nov 03]. However, that accolade did not carry over into the 2026 season. At the MSI 2026 Final on July 13, Hanwha Life Esports defeated Bilibili Gaming 3-2, and the Finals MVP went to top laner Choi “Zeus” Woo-je — making Zeus only the second player ever to win both Worlds Finals MVP and MSI Finals MVP, with Faker being the first [gHacks Tech News, Mon Jul 13]. That historical precedent cuts both ways: Faker remains the only player to have achieved the double, but the 2026 MSI result shows younger talent like Zeus now commands the spotlight in finals settings.
Faker’s path to a 2026 international Finals MVP is further complicated by his current team situation and national-team commitments. The South Korean roster for the Summer Asian Games 2026, announced on May 18, includes Faker alongside Zeus, Canyon, Zeka, Gumayusi, and Keria — notably excluding Oner and Chovy [Insider Gaming, Mon May 18]. While the Asian Games is an international event, it does not award a Finals MVP in the traditional League of Legends sense, meaning Faker’s only realistic shot at adding to his Finals MVP record in 2026 would come at Worlds or the Esports World Cup. The EWC, hosted in Paris, France in summer 2026, features a cross-game club format rather than individual Finals MVP honors, further narrowing the window [Esports World Cup, Wed Aug 12]. With T1’s roster undergoing changes — Gumayusi departed after Worlds 2025 — Faker’s supporting cast in 2026 lacks the same continuity that powered his earlier Finals MVP runs.
The 9% probability also reflects the sheer difficulty of the feat itself. Faker has won exactly two international Finals MVP awards in his career — the 2016 Worlds Finals MVP and the 2025 Worlds Finals MVP — spanning over a decade of dominance. Meanwhile, the 2026 MSI Finals MVP went to Zeus, and rumors circulating in July 2026 suggest that G2 Esports’ mid laner Caps may be the next inductee into the Hall of Legends, a recognition that has historically tracked with international Finals MVP-caliber performances [Traded on Polymarket — $105K Volume
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