Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
NO
94c
YES
6c
Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES).
Down from 8% to 6% since 2026-06-15 (-2pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $525K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $525K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.