Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 24% YES on Polymarket with $421K in total trading volume.

NO

76c

YES

24c

As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?” at 24% YES with $421K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).

Down from 28% to 24% since 2026-07-15 (-4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $421K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $421K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.