Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
NO
87c
YES
13c
As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?” at 13% YES with $417K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.