Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 13% YES on Polymarket with $417K in total trading volume.

87c

YES

13c

Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES).

Down from 32% to 13% since 2026-05-31 (-19pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $417K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 13c YES with $417K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 13% YES with $417K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.