Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 30% YES on Polymarket with $411K in total trading volume.

70c

YES

30c

Prediction markets put the probability at 30%: Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (30% YES).

Up from 26% to 30% since 2026-04-14 (+4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $411K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 30c YES with $411K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 30% YES with $411K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.