Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $212K in total trading volume.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).

Up from 20% to 26% since 2026-05-02 (+6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $212K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $212K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $212K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.