Geopolitics
Resolves: Aug 2026 36 days left Volume: $57K

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

NO
95c
YES
5c

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).

Currently at 5%

Traded on Polymarket — $57K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($57K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $57K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.