Prediction markets put the probability at 66%: Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026. Currently, markets are divided (66% YES, 34% NO). Posted on May 5, 2026.
Down from 65% to 47% since 2026-05-02 (-18pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $62K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($62K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 47c YES.