Crypto

Resolves: Jan 2027 4 months left Volume: $1.7M

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $1.7M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

Q: What do AI models predict for 'Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?'?

OddsShift runs mathematical models (Bayesian Update, PIN, Compound Signal) plus independent AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Grok, Gemini, Kimi) on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 72c YES. 3 models agree on direction. See full model breakdown on the market page.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).

Down from 52% to 26% since 2026-05-29 (-26pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $1.7M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.7M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 26c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

$1.7M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 26c

Models see 46-point mispricing — fair value 72c vs market 26c. BUY YES at 26c — models see 46c of upside.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

Models Are Divided on This Market

Model	Says	Fair Value estimated fair price	Confidence
MATH PIN Model	YES	98c	—
MATH Compound Signal	NO	60c	—
AI DeepSeek Quant	NO	82c	72%
AI Grok Contrarian	YES	48c	38%
AI Gemini Flash	NO	65c	55%
AI Kimi Macro	YES	69c	70%

3 of 6 models estimate YES fair value above market (48–98c vs 26c). Kimi Macro leads with 70% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of YES at 72c — market prices it at 26c. 46-point gap supports YES.

Why One Model Disagrees: Compound Signal dissents at 40c — Signal score 1 (MODERATE), 55% backtest accuracy on YES side. Blended fair value: 40% YES.

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Crypto Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a crypto specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x4818..0b	Smart	YES	$1.1K	-48%
This Market Entered at 45c → now 26c (-48%), $1.1K on YES Activity · 6 events · Jan 21 → Feb 16 DatePositionAmountTotal Jan 21BUYYES29+$70$70 Jan 22BUYYES30+$20$92 Feb 05BUYYES52+$1,636$1,797 Feb 09SELLYES36−$61$1,175 Feb 13SELLYES40−$214$1,109 Feb 16BUYYES33+$439$1,331 Realized−$76 Unrealized−$788 Total Profit−$863 Wallet Type High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 1108 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.

See all 87 alpha wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 45c. At current price 26c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 26c YES — $1.7M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 26c with $1.7M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 72c. Significant 46-point gap — model sees YES as substantially mispriced.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	26c	$1.7M
Our Model	72c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $1.7M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 72c YES. 3 models agree on direction.