Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 42% YES on Polymarket with $177K in total trading volume.

58c

YES

42c

Prediction markets put the probability at 42%: Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (42% YES, 58% NO). John Phelan forced out as Navy secretary after 13 months.

Price has been stable at 42% since 2026-04-14

Traded on Polymarket — $177K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 42c YES with $177K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 24, 2026, 22:06 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 42% YES with $177K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.