Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $91K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 10% to 6% since 2026-05-11 (-4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $91K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($91K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 93c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Politics Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a politics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned NO — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xe841..59	Smart	NO	$2.1K	+4%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 94c (+4%), $2.1K on NO Activity · 4 events · May 14 → Jun 23 DatePositionAmountTotal May 14BUYNO91+$1,000$1,000 Jun 05SELLNO96−$1,061$0 Jun 16BUYNO94+$1,100$1,100 Jun 23BUYNO94+$1,000$2,107 Realized+$61 Unrealized+$29 Total Profit+$90 Wallet Type High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 381 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.

See all 84 alpha wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 93c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $91K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $91K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$91K
Our Model	6c	—

Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $91K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.