US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 44% YES on Polymarket with $64K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

56c

YES

44c

Prediction markets put the probability at 44%: US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (44% YES, 56% NO).

Currently at 44%

Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 44c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 55c

Smart money entered NO at 55c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 55c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	NO	$2.0K	+1%
This Market Entered at 55c → now 55c (+1%), $2.0K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 29 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 29BUYNO55+$1,979$1,979 Realized— Unrealized+$18 Total Profit+$18 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1182) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 55c. At current price 44c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 44c YES — $64K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 44c with $64K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 44c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	44c	$64K
Our Model	44c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 44% YES with $64K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.