Polymarket Wallet

0x084…6b6f

Alpha Full address — PRO

Active in 93 markets · 114 total traded · Joined 2026-01-07

Realized P&L
+$14,458
Unrealized P&L
+$58,757
Total
+$73,216
Markets
114

Active Positions (113)

Entry Date Market Side Shares Entry Avg Current Unrealized P&L
Jul 19 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? NO 2,000 61c 62c +$17
Jul 19 Iran Leadership Change by June NO 2,000 61c 100c +$117
Jul 17 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? NO 9,673 76c 73c −$224
Jul 16 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? YES 3,470 37c 36c −$13
Jul 16 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? NO 14,854 47c 45c −$189
Jul 14 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? NO 4,639 91c 82c −$391
Jul 13 Fed rate hike in 2026? YES 4,941 64c 60c −$196
Jul 13 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES 3,224 50c 52c +$74
Jun 29 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? NO 9,230 65c 68c +$435
Jun 28 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? NO 18,002 74c 86c +$2,337
Jun 24 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? NO 11,445 41c 55c +$1,630
Jun 22 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? NO 2,101 79c 95c +$331
Jun 20 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July NO 10,473 74c 100c +$2,220
Jun 20 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? NO 3,014 71c 78c +$203
Jun 16 Will Spacexs Valuation Hit High 3pt0t by June NO 1,237 47c 100c +$565
Jun 12 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by August YES 1,174 67c 0c +$260
Jun 01 Israel Closes Its Airspace by June NO 3,000 43c 100c $0
May 29 Mojtaba Khamenei Seen in Public by June YES 7,353 10c 0c +$272
May 29 Us Iran Nuclear Deal by July YES 1,624 55c 0c +$412
May 29 Mojtaba Khamenei Seen in Public by June YES 7,353 10c 0c +$749
May 23 Ex Cuba Leader Raul Castro in Us Custody by June NO 1,769 85c 100c +$144
May 21 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by July NO 3,337 48c 100c −$587
May 21 Us Iran Nuclear Deal Before YES 2,667 75c 0c +$518
May 18 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June NO 4,150 71c 100c +$796
May 18 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June YES 5,734 23c 0c +$635
May 18 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June YES 12,113 36c 0c +$2,069
May 18 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June YES 7,037 19c 0c +$493
May 16 Israel X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June NO 7,405 86c 100c +$663
May 14 Microstrategy Sells Any Bitcoin by May YES 3,053 58c 0c $0
May 13 Will Trump Restart Project Freedom by May NO 3,913 80c 100c +$584
May 12 Starmer Out by May NO 2,259 69c 100c +$570
May 06 Us Iran Nuclear Deal by June YES 13,810 55c 0c +$3,761
May 06 Will France Uk or Germany Strike Iran by June NO 8,848 97c 100c −$176
May 04 Iran Closes Its Airspace by May 8 NO 4,621 82c 100c +$543
May 04 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by December NO 3,094 30c 100c $0
May 04 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by December NO 3,094 30c 100c $0
Apr 21 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June NO 3,817 35c 100c $0
Apr 21 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by June YES 4,188 52c 0c $0
Apr 14 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by April NO 1,500 82c 100c $0
Apr 13 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by May YES 9,339 22c 0c $0
Apr 13 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by May YES 1,684 43c 0c +$317
Apr 13 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by May YES 9,601 29c 0c +$213
Apr 13 Us X Iran Permanent Peace Deal by May NO 12,206 60c 100c +$1,348
Apr 11 Us Obtains Iranian Enriched Uranium by May NO 6,694 84c 100c $0
Apr 07 Iran Leadership Change by June NO 1,570 81c 100c +$203
Apr 06 Iran Leadership Change by May NO 1,303 83c 100c +$148
Mar 26 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? NO 2,346 77c 88c $0
Mar 25 Will Spacex Ipo by June YES 1,673 67c 0c +$447
Mar 22 Kharg Island No Longer Under Iranian Control by April NO 15,120 68c 100c +$4,031
Mar 14 Netanyahu Out by June NO 7,792 86c 100c +$668
Mar 14 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 0 18c 28c $0
Mar 06 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NO 20,740 88c 90c +$1,264
Mar 06 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? NO 8,309 78c 94c +$1,408
Mar 02 Will the Iranian Regime Fall by June NO 26,948 91c 100c +$1,955
Feb 05 Starmer Out by December NO 13,113 17c 100c +$1,677
Feb 05 Starmer Out by December NO 13,113 17c 100c −$946
Feb 05 Starmer Out by December NO 14,503 17c 100c +$2,290
Feb 05 Starmer Out by December NO 13,113 17c 100c +$1,021
Jan 26 US strike on Cuba by December 31? NO 13,360 52c 66c +$1,947
Jan 25 Will Reza Pahlavi Enter Iran by June NO 6,441 86c 100c +$541
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Activity Timeline — Last 30 Days

Date Market Action Side Price Shares P&L Total
Jul 21 Will there be no change in Fed interest BUY YES 93c 2,942 $2,722
Jul 21 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 45c 14,506 $6,588
Jul 21 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY YES 37c 6,677 $2,462
Jul 21 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August SELL YES 37c 3,207 +$4 $1,187
Jul 21 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY NO 45c 1,369 $616
Jul 21 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? BUY NO 76c 14,437 $10,925
Jul 21 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? SELL NO 75c 4,764 −$32 $3,573
Jul 21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September SELL NO 86c 1,586 +$198 $1,364
Jul 21 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 34c 1,000 $340
Jul 21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, SELL NO 95c 1,871 +$300 $1,779
Jul 21 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 76c 3,583 $2,713
Jul 21 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 SELL NO 67c 2,827 +$53 $1,894
Jul 21 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm SELL NO 86c 187 +$11 $161
Jul 20 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31 SELL NO 87c 687 +$33 $598
Jul 20 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY NO 44c 224 $98
Jul 20 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August SELL NO 52c 1,500 +$77 $780
Jul 20 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? SELL NO 73c 1,554 −$3 $1,142
Jul 20 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 56c 909 $509
Jul 20 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 56c 909 $509
Jul 20 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed BUY NO 70c 1,500 $1,050
Jul 20 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September SELL NO 88c 6,579 +$953 $5,789
Jul 20 Will the Houthis successfully target shi SELL NO 65c 800 +$12 $520
Jul 20 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 29c 2,386 $689
Jul 20 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira SELL YES 32c 983 +$34 $311
Jul 20 Will Count Binface get second place in t BUY NO 32c 1,489 $469
Jul 20 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi SELL NO 65c 800 +$12 $520
Jul 20 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, SELL NO 96c 2,111 +$350 $2,019
Jul 20 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 76c 5,118 $3,892
Jul 20 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 66c 1,471 $971
Jul 20 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm SELL NO 86c 888 +$53 $763
Jul 19 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August SELL NO 50c 7,379 +$231 $3,693
Jul 19 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 51c 454 $232
Jul 19 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 51c 454 $232
Jul 19 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? BUY NO 61c 2,000 $1,213
Jul 19 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm SELL NO 80c 2,702 +$673 $2,162
Jul 19 Iran Leadership Change by June BUY NO 61c 2,000 $1,213
Jul 18 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY NO 50c 976 $488
Jul 18 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 48c 127 $61
Jul 18 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 48c 127 $61
Jul 18 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 71c 408 $290
Jul 18 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira SELL YES 26c 2,613 −$41 $679
Jul 18 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 71c 408 $290
Jul 17 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state i BUY YES 77c 122 $95
Jul 17 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY NO 48c 10,875 $5,191
Jul 17 Iran full airspace closure by July 31? BUY NO 74c 364 $271
Jul 17 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 49c 1,323 $650
Jul 17 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 49c 1,323 $650
Jul 17 Will the Houthis successfully target shi BUY NO 62c 2,290 $1,425
Jul 17 Will the Houthis Successfully Target Shi BUY NO 62c 2,290 $1,425
Jul 17 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, SELL NO 96c 1,475 +$250 $1,416
Jul 17 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December SELL NO 93c 250 +$37 $232
Jul 17 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm SELL NO 88c 1,200 +$95 $1,056
Jul 17 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 3 SELL NO 76c 464 +$22 $353
Jul 16 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August BUY NO 46c 10,290 $4,707
Jul 16 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, SELL NO 96c 3,223 +$552 $3,101
Jul 16 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 75c 1,107 $830
Jul 16 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 70c 1,786 $1,250
Jul 15 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state i BUY YES 79c 225 $178
Jul 15 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extend SELL NO 65c 772 +$187 $502
Jul 15 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 23c 1,343 $309
Jul 15 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? SELL YES 18c 34,818 −$444 $6,267
Jul 15 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 70c 2,165 $1,516
Jul 15 Will there be no change in Fed interest BUY YES 62c 2,039 $1,264
Jul 14 Will there be no change in Fed interest BUY YES 83c 140 $116
Jul 14 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? BUY NO 91c 4,639 $4,202
Jul 14 Fed rate hike in 2026? BUY YES 66c 2,305 $1,531
Jul 14 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? BUY YES 42c 315 $132
Jul 14 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? SELL YES 49c 1,990 −$7 $982
Jul 14 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 19c 1,252 $240
Jul 14 Will Count Binface get second place in t BUY NO 26c 1,345 $354
Jul 13 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027 BUY NO 92c 1,500 $1,380
Jul 13 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027 SELL NO 91c 4,260 +$115 $3,876
Jul 13 Fed rate hike in 2026? BUY YES 63c 2,636 $1,654
Jul 13 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? BUY YES 50c 4,893 $2,457
Jul 13 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira SELL YES 25c 600 −$58 $150
Jul 13 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY YES 21c 5,000 $1,050
Jul 12 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 82c 2,000 $1,640
Jul 11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 64c 1,473 $937
Jul 11 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 63c 5,836 $3,674
Jul 11 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 77c 582 $446
Jul 10 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 77c 1,000 $770
Jul 09 Will there be no change in Fed interest BUY YES 83c 3,200 $2,668
Jul 09 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September BUY NO 81c 1,500 $1,215
Jul 09 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extend SELL NO 48c 1,100 +$76 $525
Jul 09 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 69c 1,081 $746
Jul 09 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 83c 893 $741
Jul 08 Will there be no change in Fed interest SELL YES 78c 4,023 −$282 $3,138
Jul 08 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by SELL YES 25c 1,000 −$44 $250
Jul 08 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, BUY YES 13c 10,000 $1,300
Jul 08 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state i SELL YES 83c 2,098 +$381 $1,749
Jul 08 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September BUY NO 76c 1,438 $1,096
Jul 08 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027 BUY NO 92c 2,000 $1,840
Jul 08 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extend BUY NO 46c 9,798 $4,520
Jul 08 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extend SELL NO 42c 3,000 +$46 $1,269
Jul 08 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 31c 1,538 $477
Jul 08 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira SELL YES 35c 3,500 +$13 $1,228
Jul 08 Will Count Binface Win the Clacton by El BUY NO 93c 2,775 $2,586
Jul 08 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, SELL NO 89c 8,594 +$825 $7,621
Jul 08 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 SELL NO 63c 222 +$18 $140
Jul 07 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September BUY NO 73c 18,318 $13,372
Jul 07 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extend BUY NO 33c 6,519 $2,131
Jul 07 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 20c 2,437 $487
Jul 07 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 93c 3,579 $3,328
Jul 07 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 64c 1,401 $897
Jul 07 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 75c 285 $214
Jul 06 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, SELL YES 23c 13,888 −$126 $3,194
Jul 06 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 17c 2,273 $384
Jul 06 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 37c 1,660 $614
Jul 06 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 54c 1,297 $701
Jul 06 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 17c 73 $12
Jul 05 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September BUY NO 71c 1,500 $1,065
Jul 05 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 52c 10,384 $5,397
Jul 04 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 14c 1,903 $269
Jul 04 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 81c 2,700 $2,187
Jul 04 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to norm BUY NO 44c 2,505 $1,094
Jul 04 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 14c 1,903 $269
Jul 04 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 SELL NO 55c 3,377 $1,857
Jul 03 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 92c 13,269 +$2,394 $12,207
Jul 03 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 9c 320 $30
Jul 03 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm SELL NO 11c 3,599 +$182 $379
Jul 03 US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL NO 60c 2,072 +$173 $1,243
Jul 03 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 75c 2,001 $1,501
Jul 03 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 9c 320 $30
Jul 03 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm SELL NO 11c 3,599 +$182 $379
Jul 02 Will there be no change in Fed interest BUY YES 85c 4,023 $3,420
Jul 02 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31 SELL NO 87c 2,000 +$97 $1,740
Jul 02 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 90c 3,908 $3,517
Jul 02 Us X Iran Diplomatic Meeting by July 10 BUY NO 91c 3,400 $3,099
Jul 02 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uraniu SELL NO 70c 47 +$11 $33
Jul 02 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 7c 2,037 $149
Jul 02 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Ira BUY YES 35c 3,238 $1,142
Jul 02 US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL NO 64c 2,500 +$309 $1,600
Jul 02 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 73c 14,356 $10,528
Jul 02 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 7c 2,037 $149
Jul 01 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 85c 6,286 +$893 $5,343
Jul 01 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 5c 12,361 $622
Jul 01 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 5c 12,361 $622
Jun 30 Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 7c 232 $16
Jun 30 Will the Republican Party control the Ho BUY NO 83c 2,000 $1,660
Jun 30 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 7c 232 $16
Jun 30 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 55c 800 $440
Jun 29 Us Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13 BUY NO 89c 1,806 $1,607
Jun 29 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY NO 56c 704 $394
Jun 29 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 62c 4,463 $2,767
Jun 29 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 3 BUY NO 55c 3,599 $1,979
Jun 28 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September BUY NO 73c 3,411 $2,490
Jun 27 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, SELL YES 25c 2,000 +$22 $500
Jun 27 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 71c 26,120 $18,493
Jun 27 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY NO 58c 1,198 $698
Jun 27 Will 60 Ships Transit the Strait of Horm BUY NO 58c 8,000 $4,661
Jun 27 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 3 BUY NO 74c 1,091 $808
Jun 26 Us Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13 SELL NO 87c 1,000 $870
Jun 26 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 46c 3,000 $1,375
Jun 26 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 46c 4,000 +$20 $1,860
Jun 25 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, BUY YES 26c 1,000 $260
Jun 25 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes i BUY NO 65c 644 $420
Jun 25 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 44c 5,502 $2,445
Jun 25 Will There Be Between 40 and 60 Average BUY YES 35c 4,086 $1,428
Jun 24 Will Keir Starmer Be the Next Leader Out BUY YES 85c 4,000 $3,410
Jun 24 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, BUY YES 23c 10,000 $2,300
Jun 24 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 96c 100 $96
Jun 24 Us Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13 BUY NO 87c 2,000 $1,740
Jun 24 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY NO 60c 3,591 $2,150
Jun 24 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm SELL NO 56c 8,439 +$193 $4,715
Jun 24 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, BUY NO 79c 18,731 $14,813
Jun 23 US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY NO 54c 100 $54
Jun 23 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Norm BUY NO 52c 5,000 $2,600

Resolved Positions (1)

Market Side Shares Entry Avg Exit Avg Realized P&L Outcome
Will Norway Reach the 2026 Fifa World Cup Final NO 1,704 93c 100c $0 ✗ Lost

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Wallet data is aggregated from on-chain Polymarket trades (data.polymarket.com). Published addresses are public on the Polygon blockchain. OddsShift does not provide financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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