As of September 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?” at 20% YES with $158K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 20%: Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (20% YES). If Arc launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.