Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026 8 months left Volume: $1.4M

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

YES
62c
NO
38c

Prediction markets give a 62% probability to: will delcy rodríguez be the leader of venezuela end of 2026?.

Currently at 62%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.4M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.4M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 62c YES.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC
Smart money signal: 6 tracked wallets positioned YES with 1.2x conviction. Backed by $1.4M in trading volume.
PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY YES 61c

Smart money entered YES at 58c–64c.

+15% TARGET YIELD
37c
71c
100c
61c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

5 Market Makers Providing Liquidity

We tracked 6 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 5 market makers are providing $16K in liquidity, primarily on NO. YES wallets entered between 58c–64c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xbacd..35MMNO$6.7K-16%
0xa8af..5eMMYES$5.0K+6%
0xfcf2..69RetailYES$4.9K+3%
0x011f..22MMYES$2.0K-4%
0xc1b3..1cMMNO$1.0K-26%
0xdd22..f1MMNO$1.0K-44%
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67% of YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 58c–64c, NO wallets at 46c–69c. At current price 62c, 67% of YES holders are profitable vs none of the NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

YES positions
67% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket: 62c YES — $1.4M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 62c with $1.4M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 62c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket62c$1.4M
Our Model62c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 62% YES with $1.4M in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??
OddsShift tracks 6 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.