Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 20% YES on Polymarket with $991K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

80c

YES

20c

Prediction markets give a 20% probability to: will nicolás maduro be the leader of venezuela end of 2026?.

Currently at 20%

Traded on Polymarket — $991K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 20c YES with $991K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

Smart money signal: 3 tracked wallets positioned NO with 0.7x conviction. Backed by $991K in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 80c

Smart money entered NO at 85c–93c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

3 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 85c–93c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xa8af..5e	Retail	YES	$3.1K	+90%
This Market Entered at 10c → now 20c (+90%), $3.1K on YES Track Record 2mo on platform · 651 trades · 100% win rate · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 651 trades).
0xc1b3..1c	MM	NO	$2.0K	-14%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 80c (-14%), $2.0K on NO Track Record 3mo on platform · 1170 trades · politics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1170) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xbacd..35	MM	NO	$1.0K	-6%
This Market Entered at 85c → now 80c (-6%), $1.0K on NO Track Record 13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 10c, NO wallets at 85c–93c. At current price 20c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 20c YES — $991K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 20c with $991K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 20c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	20c	$991K
Our Model	20c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 20% YES with $991K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026??

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.