Science
Resolves: Dec 2026 5 months left Volume: $60K

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

NO
94c
YES
6c

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 14% to 6% since 2026-04-14 (-8pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $60K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($60K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $60K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.