Geopolitics
Resolves: Dec 2026 4 months left Volume: $1.2M

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

NO
95c
YES
5c

Prediction markets give a 5% probability to: will there be no head of state in iran end of 2026?.

Price has been stable at 5% since 2026-04-28

Traded on Polymarket — $1.2M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.2M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 5c YES.

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$1.2M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT
HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 92c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

TARGET YIELD

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Geopolitics Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a geopolitics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned NO — unanimous.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xc021..a8 SmartNO$3.2K+3%
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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 92c. At current price 5c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 5c YES — $1.2M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $1.2M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 5c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket5c$1.2M
Our Model5c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $1.2M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.