Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 8% YES on Polymarket with $1.0M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

92c

YES

Prediction markets give a 8% probability to: will there be no head of state in iran end of 2026?.

Up from 6% to 8% since 2026-04-28 (+2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $1.0M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.0M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 8c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

$1.0M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

STRONG OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 92c

Smart money entered NO at 92c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 92c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xc021..a8 ★	MM	NO	$3.1K	+0%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 92c → now 92c (+0%), $3.1K on NO Activity · 2 events · Mar 16 → Mar 23 DatePositionAmountTotal Mar 16BUYNO91+$1,225$1,225 Mar 23BUYNO93+$1,856$3,112 Realized— Unrealized+$4 Total Profit+$4 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1172) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 92c. At current price 8c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 8c YES — $1.0M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 8c with $1.0M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 8c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	8c	$1.0M
Our Model	8c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $1.0M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.